Editor’s Note: Today’s post is from Dick Locke, Sourcing Innovation’s resident expert on International Sourcing and Procurement. (His previous guest posts are still archived.)
In my last post I wrote about the loosening of the controls on the value of the yuan. Since then, the yuan has weakened about 1%. That’s one of two developments affecting China sourcing.
The other, which I think will have more immediate effect, is new labor militancy among the employees of export related industries. They are realizing they are in a very strong bargaining position, because they are working for first tier suppliers of consumer products, such as computers, telephones and cars. The Apples, Dells, HPs and Hondas of the world aren’t going to stay customers of companies who take (with or without government involvement) repressive measures against labor militants.
This is unlike the situation in Mexico, where the federales broke a miner’s strike a few weeks ago. Miners are about as far back up the supply chain as you can get, so it’s unlikely the mine’s customers are going to feel consumer pressures. The mine is in Cananea, and is more or less an historic site because there was another famous government-assisted strike breaking there about 100 years ago. In that 1906 incident, the US Army got involved, 60 miles inside Mexico.
In China, the suppliers are generally conceding to labor’s demands. Will that lead to a massive departure from China? Not in itself, particularly in the electronics industry. As a rule of thumb, electronics assembly costs are 80% material, 15% overhead and only 5% labor. A small increase in labor costs at the assembly level is unlikely to be a deal-killer. That’s helpful, because resourcing all that electronic assembly work out of China is going to take years. Foxconn alone has 800,000 employees in China. Resource that!
Thanks, Dick.