Category Archives: Finance

Undervalued Currencies, Part II

Editor’s Note: Today’s post is from Dick Locke, Sourcing Innovation’s resident expert on International Sourcing and Procurement. (His previous guest posts are still archived.)

In our last post we discussed the undervaluation of the yuan, introduced the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) rate as a measure of the relative valuation of a currency, and reviewed the background behind the PPP rate. In this post, we’ll cover the determination of PPP rates, the calculations necessary to determine value against the US dollar, and list some countries with large differences between the PPP rate and the actual rate.

The Determination of PPP rates

You can look them up in a very wordy and meandering World Bank publication. However, the World Bank does not update values very frequently. The most recent data is from 2005. The CIA in the United States publishes an annual World Factbook. It has data that enables an easy calculation of current PPP rates.

The Factbook shows GDP at both PPP and “official” exchange rates. In the case of China in 2009, GDP at PPP rates was 8.789 trillion U.S. dollars. (Note to non-U.S. readers: A trillion in the U.S. is 1,000,000,000,000.) GDP at official rates was 4.814 trillion dollars. Because both GDPs are conversions of the same amount of yuan, if you know the official rate simple algebra will give you the PPP rate.

How can you find the “official” rate? In most cases, it’s the actual rate. If you use the “Historical Exchange Rates” facility at oanda.com, it will give you an average exchange rate over a period of time. The average rate in 2009 was 6.841 yuan per dollar.

That means the PPP rate was 3.74 yuan per dollar. (I left the algebra to you.)

Calculation of Over- and Under- Valuation

There’s a big difference between 6.84 and 3.74. How big? First you need to re-express exchange rates into dollars per yuan. That means simply inverting each value, or dividing it into 1. If there are 6.84 yuan per dollar, each yuan is worth 14.62 U.S. cents. At 3.74 yuan per dollar, each yuan is worth 26.69 cents. The difference between the two values is 11.93 cents. Take that difference (11.93) and divide it by the PPP value and you get .452, or 45.2 percent of the PPP value. That means the yuan is undervalued against its PPP value by 45.2%.

Other Countries

If you do similar calculations on other countries, you get results that will dispel any notion that floating currencies settle near the PPP rate. You will also see that China isn’t different than many of its competitors.

With this method, some countries’ currencies are undervalued against the U.S. dollar. In turn, the U.S. dollar is undervalued against some countries’ currencies

Countries Undervalued against U.S. dollar Countries against which the U.S. dollar is overvalued
Country Amount
India 69%
Taiwan 50%
Thailand 45%
China 45%
Malaysia 40%
S. Korea 40%
Singapore 30%
Mexico 29%
Brazil 26%
Country Amount
Germany 14%
Italy 20%
France 23%
Japan 26%
Ireland 29%

Summary

  • PPP rates are calculated based on consumer purchases, not industrial products.
  • China is one of several countries that have both currency controls and an exchange rate that is significantly different than the PPP rate. However, removing controls and floating a currency does not guarantee it will reach PPP rates.
  • Individual buyers (and sourcerers) should not concern themselves with official PPP rates because these consumer-oriented rates may be very different than the rates for the particular product a buyer is handling.

Thanks, Dick! (Global Supply Training)

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Undervalued Currencies, Part I

Editor’s Note: Today’s post is from Dick Locke, Sourcing Innovation’s resident expert on International Sourcing and Procurement. (His previous guest posts are still archived.)

The value of the Chinese currency, the renminbi is getting a lot of attention. The renminbi is commonly called the yuan, and I’ll use that term here. Economists, lobbyists, legislators and others are all saying the yuan is undervalued. I agree with them.

But undervalued compared to what? Often the answer is “compared to what it should be”. That’s really vague and circular. There is one common point of comparison, though. That’s the “Purchasing Power Parity” (PPP) exchange rate. It’s not perfect reference point though. In this two-part post I’ll be covering:

  • Background of the PPP rate
  • How to determine the PPP rate for different countries
  • How to calculate over- and under- valuation
  • Countries with big differences between the PPP rate and the actual rate

Background PPP rates

The concept of the PPP rate came largely from the World Bank. They were trying to give a realistic picture of the relative standard of living between different countries by looking at per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Each country measures GDP in its own currency, and that figure has to be converted to a common currency to compare countries. The common currency the World Bank uses is the U.S. dollar. They found that converting GDPs at the real exchange rate gave an unrealistically low view of the standard of living in developing and poor countries. For example, in 2009 the annual per capita GDP in China using real exchange rates was only about $3,300 per person. But a person can live much better in China on that level of income than they would in the U.S., so the World Bank developed a PPP exchange rate that shows the per capita income to be $6,600, using a PPP rate to convert from yuan to dollars.

So how is a PPP rate determined? It’s based on a market basket of consumer-oriented goods and services. It’s the exchange rate at which that basket would cost the same in both countries. What exactly is in that market basket? I haven’t been able to find that information. I do know that it’s heavy on food, clothing, housing and education costs. It may not have much relevance to industrial purchasers.

Here are two quick examples of one-item market baskets. I live in Mexico most of the time. I can see a first-run movie in a modern theater that’s equivalent to the best in the U.S. for 45 pesos. In the U.S., it would cost $10. The PPP rate for movies in Mexico is therefore 4.5 pesos per dollar (45/10). That’s the exchange rate at which costs would be identical. However, if I were to buy a laptop computer in Mexico, an $800 laptop in the U.S. would probably cost 13,000 pesos. That implies a PPP rate for computers of 16.25. (The real exchange rate is about 12.5 pesos per dollar)

More well-known, the Economist magazine periodically publishes a one-item “Big Mac” Index of PPPs by comparing the prices of Big Macs around the world. You can see some recent results by following the link.

In the next post, we’ll cover the determination of PPP rates, the calculations necessary to determine value against the US dollar, and list some countries with large differences between the PPP rate and the actual rate.

Thanks, Dick!

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A Hitchhiker’s Guide to e-Procurement: Tax Reclamation, Part II

Mostly Harmless, Part XVI

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In the last post, the process of tax reclamation was defined and some of the complexity around tax reclamation was discussed. This post will address some of the challenges associated with tax reclamation, some best practices, and the benefits that could be expected from an appropriate e-Procurement solution with good tax reclamation support.

Common Challenges

  • Tax Rate Verification

    Is the rate being charged by the supplier the right one? This is tricker than it seems. In HTS, almost identical classifications can have greatly differing rates (which has led to lawsuits by retailers on the basis of gender discrimination, since they believe that gloves for a man should be taxed at the same rate as gloves for a woman). Some countries update tax rates on an irregular basis. (HST [Harmonized Sales Tax, a blending of the GST and PST in some provinces] increased in three provinces in Canada on July 1.) And sometimes a supplier is using an old database or makes a human error.

  • Reclaimable Tax Identification

    Can the organization recover the tax? Is it out-of-state? GST or equivalent? A VAT to which it is exempt?

  • Tax Credit Identification

    Is the expenses an eligible Research & Development expense that can be credited against taxes payable (such as the SRED in Canada)?

Best Practices

  • Automatic Tax Rate Verification

    It’s amazing how many AP clerks will accept the tax calculation as valid, without even a cursory glance, once they have verified the items have been delivered and the rate appears to be in an acceptable range.

  • Automatic Exemption Flagging

    To simplify recovery efforts, any taxes that the organization knows it is eligible to recover should be automatically flagged by the (rules-based) system. In addition, the system should also flag any tax payments that the organization might be able to recover and that should be manually reviewed.

  • Automatic Flagging of Suspect Taxes for Manual Review

    Any taxes that are not in the system should be flagged. Any calculations that are not consistent with internal calculations should be flagged. And the invoice / taxes SHOULD NOT be paid until manually reviewed.

Potential Benefits

  • Prevention of Overpayments

    Automatic verification of taxes (to insure they are valid) and rates (to insure they are current) can prevent significant overpayments.

  • (Over)Payment Recovery

    A good tax tracking system can simplify overpayment recovery when such payments are made (which will sometimes be unavoidable, especially if a 3PL or broker handles imports and screws up a filing), and can simplify recovery of taxes the organization is eligible to recover on a quarterly or annual basis.

  • Future Credits and Savings

    The ability to flag payments that might be (partially) eligible for tax credits can greatly simplify the process of claiming tax credits in an acceptable manner. This can reduce corporate taxes and lead to considerable organizational savings over the long term.

Once the taxes are reclaimed, the actionable part of the procurement cycle is complete and it’s time to analyze performance, which is the subject of the next post.

Next Post: Analysis, Part I

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A Hitchhiker’s Guide to e-Procurement: Tax Reclamation, Part I

Mostly Harmless, Part XV

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Tax reclamation is the process of applying for and securing tax refunds and rebates due to the organization. In many circumstances, a buying organization may be eligible to reclaim some or all of the taxes that it pays to a supplier. For example, in the US a buying organization can often reclaim out-of-state sales taxes (if the organization has no presence in that state), in Canada an organization can reclaim GST (Goods and Services Tax) paid, and in the UK, sometimes an organization can reclaim VAT (Value-Added Tax). In addition, a company can almost always reclaim tax overpayments if a filing is made in a timely manner, especially if the organization has an APA (Advance Pricing Agreement) in place.

Taxation is a tricky subject in just about any country. For example, in the US, while intangible assets are not subject to property taxes in most states, they are in some. The same holds true of electronic downloads (software, books, etc.). There’s the LKE, which allows capital gains tax to be deferred when the sale of an asset is being used to generate cash to buy new, or similar, assets to replace the asset which is being deprecated. Then there’s the tangled web called the Harmonized Tariff Scheduled (HTS) which determines import taxes, where classification mistakes are easily made and where a simple misclassification (ladies sleepwear vs. ladies lingerie) can result in a large difference in assessed taxes. (My favorite is imported printers. Leave the cartridge out, the tax rate can be 0. Put the cartridge in, that’s a “value” tax of about 5.5%.) And of course, there’s the issue of foreign taxes, which the organization can get credit for, and in essence reclaim, if properly recorded and reported.

Canada has similar complexity. Out-of-province purchases may not be subject to a provincial sales tax if the company does no business in that province. There’s the GST (Goods and Services Tax) which must be charged by the seller on all non-exempt purchases, but which a buying organization is able to reclaim in full on an annual, or quarterly basis (as the tax is designed so that the ultimate bearer of the tax is to be an individual). And then there are special tax credits, such as the SRED (Scientific Research & Experimental Development) tax credit that can be accrued on up to 75% of all eligible R&D expenses and used to offset (federal) taxes owed by the corporation.

And then there’s the EU, where every country, despite a common currency, still has it’s own complicated tax structure. There’s so much to keep track of that a number of businesses are built around the provision of taxation databases and regular updates to their customers, as some of these businesses are able to charge thousands a year just for database access. The EC (European Commission) Taxation and Customs Union site alone has 14 different databases indexed (and these are just the EU tax systems), including:

  • AEOAuthorized Economic Operators
  • EBTIBinding Tariff Information
  • QUOTATariff quotas and ceilings.
  • SEEDSystem for the Exchange of Excise Data
  • SUSPENSIONSAutonomous Tariff Suspensions
  • TARICIntegrated Community Tariff
  • Taxes in EuropeThe EC’s on-line information tool covering the main taxes in force in the EU member states.
  • VIESVAT Information Exchange System

As a result, tax reclamation is an involved and difficult process that requires really good e-Procurement support to get right. However, considering that it can save a large organization millions of dollars a year (or more), it’s worth it.

Next Post: Tax Reclamation, Part II

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A Hitchhiker’s Guide to e-Procurement: Payments

Mostly Harmless, Part XIV

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Reconciliation challenges and best practices.

A payment is the transfer of wealth from one party to another. The payment is usually cash or cash equivalent, such as cheque, money order, or electronic funds transfer. The payment must be recorded, tracked, reported and assigned to an invoice. Despite all of the focus on e-Payment (P2P, EIPP, etc.), it’s actually the simplest part of the e-Procurement process. The AP clerk simply sends a cheque or instructs a payment to be made, and then records the debit. All of the complexity comes before (which should now be apparent after reading this far in this series) and after (which will become clear). Nevertheless, there are still some challenges to be addressed, some best practices to streamline processes, and some benefits to getting it right.

Common Challenges

  • Paying on Time

    For even a moderately sized company with hundreds of payments to process every week, it can be hard to keep track of which payments are due and which payments are approved. While the organization might choose to make some payments late, others may need to be made on time to avoid penalties.

  • Automating Payments

    If a contract specifies a regular, recurring payment, if a payment can be automatically approved, or if the organization has chosen to pay off a debt in an instalment plan, the payments should be automated.

Best Practices

  • Rules-Based Automation

    The system should allow one time, limited-time recurring, and regular (repeating) payments to be automatically queued according to whatever rules the organization has in place.

  • e-Payment / Accounting System Integration

    e-Payments generally need to be made through bank systems, or through accounting systems that are integrated with, and authorized to use, bank systems. As a result, the system should be capable of being integrated with these systems. This integration can be as easy as exporting a (differential/update) XML file at an hourly interval (with information to be propagated to the accounting system) and importing a (differential/update) XML file at an hourly interval (with information to be propagated [back] to the e-Procurement system).

Potential Benefits

  • Cost Reduction

    Without good system support, payment processing is a very time consuming, and somewhat error prone, task. A good system that automates payment processing saves time (and processing costs), prevents late payments (that generate penalties), and reduces the chance of human error (that can lead to more penalties or costly recovery initiatives).

  • Increased Savings

    Automating payments not only reduces costs, which contributes to savings, but allows payments to be scheduled in a manner that allows for early payment discounts, which increases the savings available to the organization.

Once the payments are made, it is time to try and recover the tax payments that can be refunded to the organization, which is the subject of the next post.

Next Post: Tax Reclamation, Part I

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