Category Archives: Market Intelligence

It’s No Wonder SMEs Can’t Get Procurement Right!

… when everything that the vast majority of publications tell them is barely on topic at the best of times, and, as per our article on a recent USA Today article, give them horrendously bad advice that makes absolutely no sense whatsoever.

Needless to say, the doctor found yet another article that is just, well, bad. At least this article wasn’t on USA Today. It was a regional business site in the UK (but what should we expect considering all of the examples of Bad Buying that Peter Smith has been bringing to our attention in his articles for about a decade now).

This article, which purported to educate us on 5 tools to streamline your supply chain only managed to identify three (3), that’s right three, actual supply chain tools, of which one (1), that’s right, one, tool would actually streamline your supply chain.

So let’s start with the ONE good suggestion:

Digital Freight Forwarding

Global logistics is hard. Very hard. All of the different paperwork requirements for pre-clearance, clearance, post-clearance; all of the different taxes and rates to keep track of on import/export/sale; all of the parties that need to be involved in getting the goods off the ship to the cross dock to the warehouse where the last mile carrier picks up; etc. is very demanding. If you’re not a big company that can afford a logistics department staffed by a logistics team, not just a PO clerk who has it as his part time job, you shouldn’t be doing it. You should be using a partner — it will be faster, better, and cheaper for you to do so. It will streamline your supply chain.

But that’s the last good suggestion. The following are two supply chain tools that will help you, but they will not streamline your supply chain.

Data Analytics

While a good data analytics solution will help you identify issues and bottlenecks, it won’t actually help you streamline them. You will have to leave the system to examine the issue, come up with solutions, and then go into some other system to implement those solutions.

Inventory Management

A great inventory management system will streamline inventory management processes, making it quicker and easier to maintain visibility into your stock, become aware of low stock (automated alerts), maintain your catalog, find product (when you can record the location), determine actual space utilization, and even optimize your storage rooms and warehouse. But an inventory management solution doesn’t streamline your supply chain if you need 60 days lead time and get an alert that you’ll probably be out of product 30 days before the next order arrives. For that, you need a proper forecasting tool, optimized global logistics with expediting options when needed, integration with your PoS systems for daily updates (to detect unexpected changes in sales early), etc.

And then the last two options weren’t even supply chain! (And definitely wouldn’t streamline the supply chain.) Because:

  • accounting software is for finance
  • chatbots are for customer support

If you really want to streamline your supply chain, then, in addition to help with logistics, you need:

  • automated supplier onboarding (with the ability to integrate risk/compliance data)
    (get a supplier in the system in days, not weeks)
  • P2P for easy (re)ordering and quick-hit RFQs
    (buy quickly when you need to)
  • online contract negotiation, signing, and management solutions
    (get the the deal done quickly)
  • good forecasting
    (so you know how much you will need to order and when)

And there are plenty of affordable options in each of these areas for small and mid-size enterprises. Just check out the many vendor lists that the doctor included in his 39-part Source-to-Pay series.

Grading The Prophet on His Supply Chain Predictions …

Hopefully you’ve been paying attention over on LinkedIn as The Prophet has been sharing his predictions for the Procurement and Supply Chain space for the coming year as the vast majority are right on the money.

When the series is done, the doctor will discuss each prediction in more detail, but for now, he’ll just direct you to the articles so you can catch up before The Prophet completes the series and you miss possibly the best intelligence on what is coming your way in 2024 (and what you need to consider if you are going to be anywhere near prepared for it):

Current Grade: A!

It Was Nice to See Procurement Get a USA Today Headline, But …

… it would be nicer still if the article made any sense!

Last month, the USA Today ran an article on How to Optimize the Procurement Lifecycle of Your Business that gave the doctor hope that maybe Procurement would get a sliver of the just desert it deserves. But, alas, the article was yet another example of how the big publications don’t care, don’t actually verify the content, and allow whatever big company gets their attention to push their agenda.

Because SEO has no place in any article on “How to Optimize the Procurement Lifecycle of Your Business”. Sales cycle, maybe. But Procurement cycle? Not a chance!

Let’s back up.

The article starts off by noting that understanding the procurement process is vital to improving cost efficiency, ensuring quality procurement solutions, and staying compliant with regulations, which is all true, and all critical to any business (among other things, but you can’t overwhelm the average reader who’s likely not a Procurement expert). It also notes that the procurement process is fraught with complexities and challenges which is also true, and also critically important for a non-Procurement person to understand.

Then it says that optimizing the procurement process entails the use of modern technologies, insights, and strategies, which gave the doctor hope that maybe it would help an average user understand what kind of technologies the organization needed, what insights the technologies should provide, and what types of procurement strategies the organization might want to consider.

But instead of actually providing these key insights it goes on to say that inefficiencies in procurement management can lead to increased costs, delayed deliveries, and compromised quality, which, while also true, is not that helpful at this point (and should have been listed as examples of the complexities and challenges highlighted above). It used this as a lead in to how modern point-of-sale (POS) systems are instrumental in dealing with inefficiencies, WHAT THE HELL?, which is used as a lead in to a whole section on digital transformation: incorporating SEO for Procurement Optimization, WHAT THE FUCK?

A POS solution is NOT a Procurement solution, and it’s certainly NOT instrumental in dealing with inefficiencies in Procurement management. Procurement is about acquiring the product an organization needs when — and where — it needs it. While a modern POS system can push roll up data into the inventory management system which, in turn, can generate forecasts to feed Procurement, a modern POS system is not necessary because all Procurement needs is sales projections, and if the delivery timeline from the source in Bangladesh or Shanghai is 45 to 60 days, it only needs 60 days of granularity, not sales data by the hour! Logistics will need that granularity to do finer forecasts to push stock where it is needed before it is needed, but NOT Procurement.

But the cardinal sin of this article is claiming that incorporating SEO techniques into the digital transformation strategy of the business can add another dimension to procurement optimization. No NO NO NO NO! The article claims that with SEO techniques, businesses can reach out to a wider pool of global suppliers, which is completely false because THAT’S NOT HOW SEO WORKS! SEO helps people doing searches find sites that match certain keyword searches, and, thus, would only work if the potential supplier has a sales person who is actively using the internet looking for new customers, who is using the keywords that the site has been SEO’d for, and who is searching in the organization’s language and in the organization’s geography (as most search engines prioritize same language results in the region). In other words, the chances of a supplier you might actually consider finding your SEO-optimized site and reaching out to the right person at your organization is only slightly better than you winning the grand prize in a mega-millions lottery.

The proper solution for finding new suppliers is a supplier discovery / network solution like
Apex Analytix,
Graphite Connect,
MFG,
Onventis,
Promena,
ScoutBee,
Supplhi,
supplier.io, and
Tealbook.

NOT SEO!!!

So, even though Procurement is the life blood of the business, when it comes to mainstream coverage, Procurement Don’t Get No Regard, No Regard At All!

There is a Price of Relocating to “Friendly Countries”, but There Are also Corresponding Cost Reductions

A recent article in El Pais on the price of relocating factories to ‘friendly countries’ noted that according to the European Central Bank (ECB), 42% of the large companies in the Old Continent that it has recently surveyed have resolved to produce in allied countries as a means of reducing risks. However, this relocation carries economic consequences, and international institutions — such as the IMF and the ECB — warn of its impact on growth and soaring prices.

The article is right. Some prices will go up as countries move out of countries in, or likely to engage in conflict, both of the physical (war) and the economic (closed borders, significant tariff increases, rolling lockdowns, etc.) variety, and move to more “friendly” countries. (As far as SI is concerned, it shouldn’t just be “friendly” countries, it should be “friendly countries close to home”. At least companies are realizing that China and/or the lowest cost country is not always the answer when that answer comes with risks that, when they materialize, could lead to skyrocketing costs and losses that dwarf five years of “savings”.

Furthermore, even though 60% of those contacted said that changes in the location of production and/or cross-border sourcing of supplies had push up their average prices over the past five years, this hasn’t been true across the board, it doesn’t have to be true, and some of those could still see savings as they optimize their new processes, methodologies, and supply chain network. (Changes don’t reach full efficiency overnight, and sometimes it is two or three years before you can optimize a supply chain network due to existing contracts, infrastructure, etc.)

Why are costs (initially) going up for many companies?

  • wages: many of the “friendly” countries are more economically mature, or advantaged, with a higher standard of living buffered up by higher wages / better social systems
  • utility charges: in “friendly” countries that are using newer, cleaner, sources of energy or limiting energy production from burning (coal, oil, natural gas) have energy costs that are often higher as the initial infrastructure investment has not been amortized, water costs could be higher if more processing inbound or outbound is required, and so on
  • production overhead: chances are that the factories are newer, required a large investment that isn’t anywhere close to being paid off yet by the owner, and you’re paying a portion of the large interest payment to the investors/banks as part of the overhead

However, it’s important to note that:

  • productivity: will go up when you move to a locale where the workforce is more educated and skilled and is better able to employ automation and modern practices, and thus gets more efficient over time, countering the initial wage increase
  • energy costs: will reduce over time as a solar farm or wind farm can produce renewable energy for decades, with the initial investment often being paid back within one third to one quarter of that time; as a result, energy prices should remain flat(ter) over time than in the locales where they are still burning dwindling fossil fuels (which rise every year in cost) and have not yet invested in renewables
  • overhead: will decrease once the investments are paid back (and the interest payments are gone), which means it can stay flat as other production related costs rise (compared to older plants which will eventually reach a point where the revitalization investment becomes significant on a regular basis)

In addition to:

  • logistics costs: will reduce when you choose a friendly country closer to your target markets (since most freight is ocean freight on fossil fuel burning cargo ships)
  • disruption costs: will reduce as less risk translates into less (costly) disruptions over time

So while costs may go up a bit at first, at least relatively speaking, they will go down over time, especially as network and process optimizations are introduced and obtained from experience with the new network, suppliers, and technologies.

Global Sourcing Agencies — Are They The Hidden Evil of the Outsourcing World?

Note the Sourcing Innovation Editorial Disclaimers and note this is a very opinionated rant!  Your mileage will vary!  (And not about any firm in particular.)

We all like to blame the Big X (and the larger Mid-Sized consultancies) for the outsourcing revolution that put the whole world in sh!t when the pandemic started (because they spent three decades convincing every CEO and their favourite corporate lap-dog they would get immediate savings [which was true] by outsourcing everything possible to China, a country that then proceeded to do mandatory city-wide lockdowns for three years every time a single COVID case was confirmed). Not only did sudden unavailability in a single geographic source break many supply chains, but the three decades of unnecessary outsourcing also significantly contributed to GHGs and hastened our trajectory to a global 2C temperature increase as transportation GHG emissions have approximately doubled over the last 30 years (and are now responsible for about 30% of global emissions, especially since just 15 older ships contribute more GHG emissions annually than 50 Million cars).

But it’s not just the Big X and Mid-Sized pushing us towards “low cost countries” on the other side of the world (where they have to help with the introductions, organizational transition management, on-site audits, etc. etc. etc. to pocket 33% of those ephemeral savings as consulting fees), it’s Global Sourcing Agencies that are adopting their fee models, tactics, and strategies to help you find the right “partners” with their “in-country” consultants who can help you on the ground, except at slightly lower costs and with slightly more focussed industry expertise.

And the truth of the situation is that if you can’t produce the products (assemblies, components, parts) you need at home, you need to outsource. But the reality is that, today, you should be outsourcing as close to “home” (where “home” is the market you’re sourcing for, so if you’re a true global multi-national, sourcing near the US for the American market, in/near Europe for the European Market, in/near Australia and New Zealand for the Australasia market, and so on). You’re not sourcing from Russia for Argentina or China for the US. It makes no sense (and, at the end of the day, when you compound the disruption costs on top of the outsourced management and super high logistics costs, costs too many extra cents).

And chances are, now that you are trying to move to a closer to “home” market, you have no clue what suppliers are there, what their real production capabilities are, how well they have served other customers in your industry, how easy they are to work with, what your chances of (eventually) becoming a customer of choice really are, and how much help you can get on the ground if you need it. So you need a Global Sourcing Agency to help you, just like you will often need a Big Consulting Agency to help you with Procurement Transformation. But in this situation, it is many times more critical you choose the right one. If you choose a Global Sourcing Agency that specializes in China manufacturers when you are trying to pull out of China sourcing for your North American Market (and thus need deep insight into the Mexican and Brazilian manufacturing market), you’re not going to get many (if any) good options and end up being convinced that, for worse or for even worse, you need to stay in China.

So where’s all this coming from? What appears to be sponsored business spam. For example, the Business NewsWire and the Big News Network are pushing an unattributed* article titled The Role of Global Sourcing Agencies in Business across any business press release site that will accept it.  In our opinion, it’s a thinly veiled attempt to ensure that, with the current (long overdue) focus on “near-sourcing” (which you should have been doing since the initial rise of Mexican outsourcing half a century ago as a response to the introduction of Maquiladoras in the 1960s), that you stay in China (which is, of course, likely the LAST thing you should do unless you are also selling that product to China or nearby [Austral]Asia).

It’s yet another article making generalized good points about how Global Sourcing Agencies can help in theory, but whether they achieve that in practice depends on whether they have the right people, the right relationships, and the right technology — in the region you need them to be in. (Which, and we can not say this enough, is often NOT China!)

Now, if you are a global firm that sells to EurAsia or Austalasia, please use these firms that specialize in china.  You don’t want to be sourcing from South America or Africa for something you can build in Asia!   And if you want to re-shore from China to South America for your American market, find a firm that specializes in South America.

Just like every Big X has their areas of specialty (see when should you use a Big X), every Global Sourcing Agency has theirs.  Use them wisely.   While the right partner can help you reap long term rewards, the wrong partner will lead you deep into the dark woods of fabled nightmares from which you will never emerge again. (And, just like when you select the wrong Big X, it will be your fault.  If you select a Global Sourcing Agency that specializes in China, they will reasonably expect you want China.  Again, if that’s the case, great.  If not … )

 

* We’re glad the article it’s unattributed. We don’t want to single out any company in particular here. It’s the entire outsourcing business model we’re questioning!  We hope it evolves into a model that helps you outsource to near-source countries!  After all, just like America should not be buying something in China it could make in America to sell in America, America should not be buying something in America to sell in China it can make in China!  Sourcing needs to be re-shored to the nearest available source to minimize transport needs, costs, and delivery times.  Not one focus on whatever country looks to be the cheapest or best in the short term!