Category Archives: Market Intelligence

You’re Understaffed. And You’re Not Alone. Now What? Part II

In our last post, we noted that the findings of a recent Source One Management Services survey (summarized in Part I of a 4-part series on how Companies Face Limited Procurement Resources that is available on their website) indicate that 1 of 3 procurement departments is understaffed. Ouch!

We further noted that this had three definite repercussions.

  1. You’re not doing enough analysis.
  2. You’re not sourcing enough categories.
  3. You’re not finding new sources of value.

So what can you do?

At a high level, you can either do something or you can do nothing. Assuming you choose to do something, you can do it internally, or you can do it externally. If you do it internally, you can add staff or augment staff. If you do it externally, you can augment staff or outsource. If you can outsource, you can outsource projects or outsource categories / commodities to a GPO. In other words, your options are:

  • Do nothing.
  • Hire more staff.
  • Augment headcount with temporary staff.
  • Augment headcount with service/solution provider personnel.
  • Outsource project(s).
  • Outsource categories/commodities to a GPO.

Even though you might think your superiors want you to do nothing, as they give you nothing to work with, that’s not the answer. You’ll just get more budget and staff cuts. And even if you can get approval to hire more staff, that might not be the answer in the short term. It takes time to ramp a new hire up to speed, and what is given may be taken away even quicker if you don’t get results.

This says that, in the short term, your best option is typically to:

  • Augment headcount with temporary staff.
  • Augment headcount with service/solution provider personnel.
  • Outsource project(s).
  • Outsource categories/commodities to a GPO.

But the right answer is not always clear. For example, while you might be able to save an average of 10% off of your office suppliers by switching to a GPO, if you are including high cost / high volume items like printers, external storage tapes and drives, and office chairs in your office supplies, you might do better sourcing those separately. If this means that the remaining spend is not enough for the GPO, that might still be okay if you can save enough on the big spending items and just negotiate an x% off catalog pricing on the rest.

And when do you augment staff on your own versus flipping a project to a service provider’s staff? If it’s just muscle you need to get your spending in order and to run one-off analyses to find new options and to make sure spend is put through the system (to get maverick spend under control), then your best option might be to augment internally. But if you need someone to source medium- or high-dollar complex / strategic categories, you probably need some category expertise. Chances are that expertise will be hard to find, expensive, and only needed once every couple of years. Unless the candidate comes with some other useful skills, then you might want to temporarily augment your staff with expert service provider staff.

Tough questions, let’s see what we can make of them in Part III.

You’re Understaffed. And You’re Not Alone. Now What? Part I

First things first. The findings of a recent Source One Management Services survey (summarized in Part I of a 4-part series on how Companies Face Limited Procurement Resources, available on their website) indicate that 1 of 3 Procurement departments is understaffed. Ouch! With costs climbing and GDP growth (and, thus, consumer spending) flattening, this is not a good thing. For many companies, their only option for growth is cost control and value generation through Supply Management. (Note that we are claiming cost control and not cost savings because, now that inflation is back with a vengeance, with hyper-inflation lurking around the corner, there is no such thing as cost savings, just cost control.)

So what does this mean?

  1. You’re not doing enough analysis.
    Analysis takes time. More time than just dumping your AP and P-Card databases into a spend analysis tool and running the canned top-n spend reports by supplier, category, department, etc. As per our recent post on Spend Analysis – How Do You Get It Right, real savings comes from real insight which requires real analysis, which takes time, effort, and focus.
  2. You’re not sourcing enough categories.
    If you’re short-staffed, you’re going to focus on the top n suppliers, categories, departments, etc. spit out by the canned reports from your spend analysis reporting tool. Some of these will have opportunities, but since you’ll already know most of these opportunities, you’ll miss many of your biggest opportunities, which are typically found in the high-opportunity tier-2 categories that never get addressed due to lack of resources.
  3. You’re not finding new sources of value.
    The future of Supply Management, in an inflationary economy, is value-generation. Cost control is a good start, and in an organization overspending by 5% to 15%, it will make a big impact in the beginning. But once all of the fat is trimmed, the best you can do is reign in costs. This means that the next round of savings is going to come from identifying value-generation opportunities. Bundling and unbundling the right value added services for your organization; helping engineering identify more cost-effective alternate materials and production processes that are also more environmentally friendly, and may let you charge a sustainability premium; and identifying new market opportunities based on products and services your strategic suppliers could provide you with can all bring value to your organization.

Now what? We’ll address that in Part II.

The (Board) Gamer’s Guide to Supply Management Part XXX: At the Gates of Loyang: Part IV – Going Solo Again!

As per our second post, when you are At the Gates of Loyang, you can ply your trade solo. But, as we indicated in our last post, you will likely do better if you first analyze the situation so that you know your best courses of action with the opportunities presented to you. In this post, we are going to repeat the solo game we played in the second post, but use our newly gained knowledge to attempt to make better decisions and see how we fare. If prior analysis and analysis of the situations encountered against that prior analysis is worthwhile, we should fare better.

Again note that:
C.C. – Casual Customer
R.C. – Regular Customer
M.S. – Market Stall

 

Setup
0) Start with 10 Cash and a 9-plot home field.
1) Populate the Courtyard, and analyze our options before we
2) Buy a vegetable from our shop and sow it in our home field – Pumpkin for 4 Cash as the first casual customer wants it, so does the second regular customer, and it’s one of the two cheapest vegetables to trade.

Round 1:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 1 Pumpkin
Acquire: 5-plot Field
Prosperity: 1

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  3  1  2  2  2  2  
Storehouse              
Cart           6
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Pumpkin 8
5 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     
Hand:

  • C.C. 2*Pumpkin/Beans 9
  • Field 4 Lots
  • R.C. Wheat/Leeks 5/6/7/8
  • Helper Merchant

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Leek 10 Helper Shopper
C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans 9 R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
Field 3 Lots C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
Helper Squire Helper Plough-Man M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2

Card Phase:
1) Shopper Helper from Courtyard, to immediately buy one vegetable cheap
2) Merchant Helper from Hand, as we aren’t ready for customers or another field

Action Phase
1) Use Shopper to buy Cabbage from Supply for 3 Cash (as it’s the most valuable vegetable we can plant now and in relatively high demand based on our prior analysis)
2) Sow Cabbage in 5-plot field
3) Store 1 Pumpkin in Storehouse
4) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 1 space for 1 Cash, leaving us with 2 Cash

 

Round 2:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 1 Pumpkin, 1 Cabbage
Acquire: 6-plot Field
Prosperity: 2

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  3  1  2  1  2  2  
Storehouse            
Cart    1    1     2
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Pumpkin 7
5 plots Cabbage 4
6 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant Buy for 1 Cash 1 of any vegetable to be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round.
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     
Hand:

  • C.C. Wheat/2*Cabbage 9
  • R.C. Wheat/Pumpkin 4/5/5/6
  • Helper Tenant-Farmer
  • R.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage 5/6/6/7

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Leek 10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans 9 R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
Field 3 Lots C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
Helper Squire Helper Plough-Man C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10

Card Phase:
1) R.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage from Hand, since that’s what we have
2) C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks from Courtyard, as that will be a valuable customer later

Action Phase:
1) Deliver Pumpkin/Cabbage to R.C. and gain 5 Cash (bringing us to 7 cash)
2) Sow Pumpkin in 6-Field (as we have it available)
3) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 1 space for 1 Cash (as we want to conserve more Cash for investing, in hopes of making even more later)

 

Round 3

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 2 Pumpkin, 1 Cabbage
Acquire: 6-plot field
Prosperity: 3

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  3  1  2  1  2  2  
Storehouse              
Cart    2    1     6
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Pumpkin 6
5 plots Cabbage 3
6 plots Pumpkin 5
6 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant Buy for 1 Cash 1 of any vegetable to be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round.
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
Pumpkin/Cabbage  3 6/6/7
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks  10 
     
Hand:

  • C.C. Turnip/Cabbage/Leeks 11
  • M.S. Turnip/Cabbage/Leeks 1/2/2
  • 5-Field
  • 5-Field

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
Field 3 Lots Helper Plough-Man M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
Helper Squire 4-Field C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10

Card Phase:
1) Market Stall Turnip/Cabbage Leeks from Hand (as the 5-fields aren’t that useful and we’re not ready for the casual customer)
2) 3-Field from Courtyard for 3 Cash (1 Cash to buy, 2 Cash to play, leaving us 3 Cash)

Action Phase:
1) Deliver Pumpkin/Cabbage to R.C. and gain 6 Cash (which brings us to 9 Cash)
2) Buy Leeks from the Shop for 6 Cash (and go back down to 3 Cash)
3) Sow Leeks in 3-Field
4) Store 1 pumpkin in storehouse
5) Advance 1 space up Path of Prosperity for 1 Cash

 

Round 4:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 2 Pumpkin, 1 Cabbage, 1 Leek
Acquire: 4 plot field
Prosperity: 4

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  3  1  2  1  2  1  
Storehouse    1          
Cart    2    1    1 2
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Pumpkin 5
5 plots Cabbage 2
6 plots Pumpkin 4
6 plots 0
3 plots Leeks 2
4 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant Buy for 1 Cash 1 of any vegetable to be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round.
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
Turnip (1) Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
Pumpkin/Cabbage  2 6/7
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks  10 
     
Hand:

  • R.C. Turnip/Turnip 5/6/6/7
  • M.S. Pumpkin/Turnip/Beans 1/1/1
  • 3-Field
  • Helper Book-keeper

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
Helper Squire Helper Plough-Man M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 4-plot Field C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10

Card Phase:
1) Helper Saleswoman from Courtyard (as this will definitely help us later)
2) M.S. Pumpkin/Turnip/Beans 1/1/1 from Hand (as this is one of the best stalls)

Action Phase:
1) Deliver Pumpkin/Cabbage to RC for 6 Cash (taking us to 8 cash)
2) Trade Pumpkin in Storehouse for Turnip
3) Deliver to C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks for 10 Cash (taking us to 18 cash)
4) Buy Turnip from Store for 5 Cash (taking us down to 13 cash)
5) Sow Turnip in 6-Field (as it’s slightly more valuable than pumpkin and wheat)
6) Buy Wheat form Store for 3 Cash (taking us down to 10 Cash)
7) Sow Wheat in 4-Field (as we primarily plan to use it for trading when needed)
8) Move 2 spaces up the path of prosperity for 7 Cash

 

Round 5:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 2 Pumpkins, 1 Cabbage, 1 Leeks, 1 Turnips, 1 Wheat
Acquire: 4-plot Field
Prosperity: 6

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  2  1  1  1  2  1  
Storehouse            
Cart  1  2  1  1    1 3
Fields

Field Planted Remains
5 plots Cabbage 1
9 plots Pumpkin 4
6 plots Pumpkin 3
6 plots Turnip 5
4 plots Wheat 3
3 plots Leeks 1
4 plots 0
4 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant Buy for 1 Cash 1 of any vegetable to be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round.
 Saleswoman  Casual Customers Pay a +2 Bonus during one action phase. (Or all satisfaction markers are turned to blue.)
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
Turnip (1) Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
Pumpkin (1)   Beans (1)
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
Pumpkin/Cabbage  1 7
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     
Hand:

  • R.C. Pumpkin/Turnip 4/5/6/7
  • C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Cabbage 9
  • M.S. Pumpkin/Turnip/Cabbage 1/1/1
  • M.S. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1

Courtyard:

C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans 9 R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
Helper Squire C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 Helper Plough-Man M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1 4-field C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10

Card Phase:
1) R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 from Courtyard (as that’s where the money is and we can plant beans)
2) R.C. Pumpkin/Turnip 4/5/6/7 from Hand (as we have lots!)

Action Phase:
1) Deliver Pumpkin/Cabbage to R.C. 1 for 7 Cash (taking us to 10 Cash)
2) Deliver Pumpkin/Turnip to new R.C. for 4 Cash (taking us to 14 Cash)
3) Trade Wheat for Beans with M.S. 1
4) Deliver Beans/Leeks to new R.C. for 7 Cash (taking us to 21 Cash)
5) Buy Beans from Shop for 6 (knocking us down to 15 Cash)
6) Sow Beans in 4-Field (as we now need them)
7) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 2 spaces for 9 Cash

 

Round 6

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 2 Pumpkins, 1 Cabbage, 1 Turnip, 1 Leeks, 1 Wheat, 1 Beans
Acquire: 3-plot field
Prosperity: 8

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  2  1  1  1  1  1  
Storehouse            
Cart  1  2  1  1  1  1 6
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Pumpkin 3
6 plots Pumpkin 2
6 plots Turnip 4
4 plots Wheat 2
4 plots Beans 3
3 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant Buy for 1 Cash 1 of any vegetable to be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round.
 Saleswoman  Casual Customers Pay a +2 Bonus during one action phase. (Or all satisfaction markers are turned to blue.)
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
Turnip (1) Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
Pumpkin (1)    
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
Pumpkin/Turnip  5/6/7 
Beans/Leeks  8/9/10 
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     
Hand:

  • R.C. Wheat/Cabbage 4/5/6/7
  • C.C. Turnip/Cabbage/Leeks 11
  • M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 1/1/1
  • Helper Messenger-Boy

Courtyard:

C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans 9 C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
Helper Squire Helper Plough-Man M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 4-Field M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1 Helper Market Crier C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10

Card Phase:
1) Helper Messenger-Boy From Hand as he will let us earn extra cash this round
2) M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2 from Courtyard for 2 Cash as we need more turnip to use the Messenger Boy and may need more beans and leaks later

Action Phase:
1) Trade Wheat for Turnip with M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks
2) Use Messenger Boy to Deliver Pumpkin/Turnip twice to to R.C. 1 for 5 + 6 Cash (bringing us to 15 Cash)
3) Deliver Beans/Leeks to R.C. 2 for 8 Cash (bringing us to 23 Cash)
4) Buy Leeks from Shop for 6 Cash (taking us down to 17 Cash) as we are out
5) Sow Leeks in 3-Field
6) Store 1 Cabbage
7) Advance up the Path of Prosperity Twice for 11 Cash

 

Round 7

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 2 Pumpkins, 1 Turnip, 1 Wheat, 1 Beans, 1 Leeks
Acquire: 3-plot field
Prosperity: 10

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  2  1  1  1  1  0  
Storehouse            
Cart  1  2  1    1  1 6
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Pumpkin 2
6 plots Pumpkin 1
6 plots Turnip 3
4 plots Wheat 1
4 plots Beans 2
3 plots Leeks 2
3 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant Buy for 1 Cash 1 of any vegetable to be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round.
 Saleswoman  Casual Customers Pay a +2 Bonus during one action phase. (Or all satisfaction markers are turned to blue.)
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
Turnip (1) Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
Pumpkin (1)    
  Beans (2) Leeks (2)
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
Pumpkin/Turnip 
Beans/Leeks  9/10 
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     
Hand:

  • R.C. Wheat/Wheat 4/5/5/6
  • R.C. Cabbage/Leeks 7/8/8/9
  • C.C. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 11
  • Helper Harvest Helper

Courtyard:

C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans 9 C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
Helper Squire Helper Plough-Man M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 4-Field C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10
M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1 Helper Market Crier Helper Tenant Farmer

Card Phase:
1) C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans from Courtyard (as we believe we will be able to serve this CC in this round or a later round)
2) C.C. Pumpkin/Bean/Leeks from Hand (again, we believe we will be able to serve this CC)

Action Phase:
1) Trade 1 Pumpkin for 1 Turnip with Stall 0
2) Trade 1 Wheat and 1 Cabbage for 1 Beans with Stall 2
3) Buy 1 Wheat from Market for 3 (taking us down to 3 Cash)
4) Deliver Wheat/Turnip/Beans to CC for 9 Cash 9 (taking us up to 12 Cash)
5) Deliver Pumpkin/Turnip to R.C. for 7 Cash (and up to 19 Cash)
6) Deliver Beans/Leeks to R.C. for 9 Cash (and up to 28 Cash)
7) Buy Beans from Shop for 6 Cash (and back down to 22 Cash)
8) Sow Beans in 3-Field
9) Advance 2 Spaces along the Path of Prosperity for 13

 

Round 8

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 2 Pumpkins, 1 Turnip, 1 Wheat, 2 Beans, 1 Leeks
Acquire: 5-plot Field
Prosperity: 12

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  1  1  1  1  0  0  
Storehouse              
Cart  1  2  1    2  1 9
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Pumpkin 1
6 plots Turnip 2
4 plots Beans 1
3 plots Leeks 1
3 plots Beans 2
5 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant Buy for 1 Cash 1 of any vegetable to be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round.
 Saleswoman  Casual Customers Pay a +2 Bonus during one action phase. (Or all satisfaction markers are turned to blue.)
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
  Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
Pumpkin (1)    
    Leeks (2)
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
Beans/Leeks  10 
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks  11 
     
Hand:

  • R.C. Pumpkin/Leeks 6/7/7/8
  • C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Cabbage 9
  • 5-Field
  • Helper Official

Courtyard:

Helper Squire C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 Helper Plough-Man M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1 4-Field C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10
R.C. Pumpkin/Beans 5/6/7/8 Helper Market Crier Helper Tenant Farmer

Card Phase:
1) R.C. Pumpkin/Leeks 6/7/7/8 from Hand (as it is a valuable R.C. for us)
2) M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks from Courtyard for 1 Cash (as we will need Leeks and this gives us cheap Leeks)

Action Phase:
1) Use Saleswoman and Deliver to
C.C. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks for 11 Cash and gain a bonus of 2 Cash (taking us up to 21 Cash)
2) Trade Turnip for Leeks with Stall 3
3) Deliver to R.C. Beans/Leeks for 10 Cash (and now up to 31 Cash)
4) Use Merchant to Buy Leeks from Supply for 1 Cash (and back down to 30 Cash)
5) Deliver to new R.C. Pumpkin/Leeks for 6 Cash (and climb up to 36 Cash)
6) Store 1 wheat in the storehouse
7) Advance 3 Spaces along the Path of Prosperity for 30 Cash

 

Round 9

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 1 Pumpkin, 1 Turnip, 2 Beans, 1 Leeks
Prosperity: 15

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  1  1  1  1  0  0  
Storehouse            
Cart  0  1  1    2  1 6
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Pumpkin 1
6 plots Turnip 1
3 plots Beans 1
5 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
   
Market Stall

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
  Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
Pumpkin (1)    
    Leeks (2)
Wheat (1) Pumpkin (1)
       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
Pumpkins/Leeks  7/7/8 
       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     
Hand:

  • C.C. Wheat/Pumpkin/Turnip 7
  • Helper Book-Keeper
  • M.S. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Leeks 1/1/2
  • R.C. Wheat/Pumpkin 4/5/5/6

Courtyard:

Helper Squire C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 Helper Plough-Man C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10
M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1 4-Field Helper Tenant Farmer
R.C. Pumpkin/Beans 5/6/7/8 Helper Market Crier Helper Shopper

Card Phase:
1) R.C. Wheat/Pumpkin 4/5/5/6 from Hand, as we believe we can fill it
2) C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 from Courtyard, as we believe we can fill it

Action Phase
1) Trade Turnip for Pumpkin with Stall 3
2) Trade Beans for Pumpkin with Stall 1
3) Buy Cabbage from Shop for 5 Cash (and go down to 1 Cash)
4) Deliver to CC Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans for 10 Cash + 2 Cash Bonus (and go up to 13 Cash)
5) Deliver Wheat/Pumpkin to new R.C. (4) and gain 4 Cash (and go up to 17 Cash)
6) Deliver Pumpkin/Leeks to R.C. 3 and gain 6 Cash (and increase to 23 Cash)
7) Advance 2 Spaces along the Path of Prosperity for 18 Cash, and
end the game with 5 Cash.

Game End:
1) End up on jade stone 17.
This is a “Good” Performance for a Solo Game, especially our second, and considerably better than our first — proving that analysis, and appropriate planning, works!

Verdict? Our analysis, which told us certain vegetables were more profitable relative to their cost, and which told us that certain market stalls and helpers were more valuable than others, especially when used at the most opportune time, paid off and we progressed two stones further on only our second try. Given that these stones cost 33 Cash, which requires satisfying at least 3 more casual customers or (almost) fully satisfying 2 regular customers over multiple rounds, we know we did significantly better. Analysis works. And, moreover, as we stated in the preamble post to this series, sharpening our analytical skills will help us in our jobs (and in our life). So mastering some of these Euro worker placement / pickup-and-delivery / tile placement etc. games is not a waste of time. (Especially the worker placement / agriculture / pickup-and delivery / tile placement / trading games of Uwe Rosenberg or Stefan Feld. Trust the doctor on this one!)

For those of you who want more proof that our better performance isn’t a fluke, at a later time we’ll post the run through of the next solo game the doctor ran through using the results of this analysis and the lessons learned in the first two games. We again reach stone 17 – which is quite good as the solo game severely limits the number of cards you will encounter (as only 20 will rotate through the courtyard and only 36 through your hand) and prevents you from seeing any card more than twice (compared to a regular game where discarded cards get reshuffled into the deck after every round). However, for our purposes, this is good as you will often only get one crack at a specific opportunity or resource in the market, as each vendor or partner will typically be unique.

In our next series, after a bit of a break, we’ll run through the solo-version of Agricola (with the Farmers on the Moor expansion) and then, after another much-needed break, demonstrate how your analysis and strategy changes when a second player is thrown into the mix (which is a good simulation of what happens in the real world when you are trying to acquire materials in a seller’s market where demand equals, or exceeds, supply and you are going head to head with your competitors).


I want to plant
I want to trade
I want to walk down the path
That’s covered in jade
I want to go out
And trade the grain
At the Gates of Loyang

The (Board) Gamer’s Guide to Supply Management Part XXIX: At the Gates of Loyang: Part III – A Detailed Analysis

In our last post, we played a solo game of “At the Gates of Loyang” and did our best to balance regular customers and casual customers, use of helpers versus market stalls, and vegetable distribution in hopes of advancing to the end of the Path of Prosperity. We reached stone 15, which we thought was okay, until we noted that, according to the game’s (legendary) designer (Uwe Rosenberg), a “Good” player will reach stone 17. In other words, what we thought was a simple game did a pretty good job of putting us in our place, and it did so in less than an hour. Ouch!

However, we’re the rock stars of the upcoming resource revolution, so we should do better. And if we apply, and hone, our unique marketplace analysis skills, I bet we can. And while it’s hard to know just how well we can do in any given game, just like it’s hard to know how well we can do on any given buy, as we never know what cards we are going to be dealt until we get them (in the following turn), just like it’s hard to know what new opportunities are going to arise in the midst of a category sourcing project, we have the advantage that the game provides a fixed number of possibilities and an analysis thereof can shed light on the best general strategies to adopt and when to shift based upon the options presented to us.

So, in this post, we are going to do a basic analysis and then apply it in a subsequent game (in our next post). If we do better in the next game, we prove that up-front analysis works (both in games and in te real-world) and sharpen our analytical skills in the process (and in our profession, that certainly can’t hurt).

The game consists of 9 player fields, 6 common fields, 14 market stalls, 14 regular customers, 14 casual customers, and 13 non-lantern helpers. The breakdown is as follows:

Player Fields:

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks
1×9 Plots Y Y Y      
2×6 Plots Y Y Y      
2×5 Plots Y Y Y Y    
2×4 Plots Y Y Y Y Y  
2×3 Plots Y Y Y Y Y Y
Compatible Plots 9 9 9 6 4 2
Maximum Yield 45 45 45 24 14 06

Expansion Fields:

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks
2×5 Plots Y Y Y Y    
2×4 Plots Y Y Y Y Y  
2×3 Plots Y Y Y Y Y Y
Compatible Plots 6 6 6 6 4 2
Maximum Yield 24 24 24 24 14 06

Total Opportunities for Planting Between Player and Available Fields:

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks
Compatible Plots 15 15 15 12 08 04
Maximum Yield 69 69 69 48 28 12

This analysis demonstrates that while one is always able to plant wheat, pumpkin and turnip, one is rarely able to plant beans and (especially) leeks. Furthermore, the maximum amount of leeks that one will be able to harvest is extremely limited, only 12 in the best case scenario (where a player acquires, and plants, both 3-plot public fields and both private fields before the end of round 6). Beans are also limited, as only 28 can be produced in the best case scenario (where a player acquires, and plants, both 3-plot public and private fields before the end of round 6 and both 4-plot public and private fields before the end of round 5), and that’s only if the player chooses not to plant any leeks. Cabbage, while not always able to be planted, can be planted in all but 2 private and 2 private fields, and can be readily available by round 4 even in the worst situation.

Casual (One-Time) Customers:

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks Cash
Customer       1 1 1 12
Customer     1 1   1 11
Customer   1     1 1 11
Customer 1     1   1 10
Customer   1 1     1 10
Customer   1   1 1   10
Customer 1 1       1 9
Customer   1 1 1     9
Customer 1   1   1   9
Customer 1     2     9
Customer   2     1   9
Customer 1   2       8
Customer 2       1   8
Customer 1 1 1       7
Wants 8 8 7 7 6 6  

Even though the object of the game is to primarily satisfy regular customers (as illustrated by the fact that there is a penalty for having more casual customers than regular customers in any round you service a casual customer), appropriately timed service to casual customers can be quite lucrative (even though they will require a third vegetable). Analyzing the distribution of casual customers, we note that even though the ability to produce different vegetables varies considerably, with some vegetables (like leeks) considerably rarer than others (like wheat), casual customers, on average, vary little in their demand for different vegetables as the demand difference between wheat and leeks is only two (2). This tells us two things:

  1. No matter what vegetables we produce, for any three vegetables we produce, there will be at least one casual customer who wants two of them.
  2. We probably shouldn’t orient our vegetable production strategy around casual customer demands.

Regular Customers:

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks Cash
Customer         1 1 7/8/9/10
Customer       1   1 7/8/9/10
Customer       1 1   6/7/8/9
Customer   1       1 6/7/7/8
Customer     1   1   6/7/7/8
Customer     1 1     5/6/7/8
Customer 1         1 5/6/7/8
Customer   1     1   5/6/7/8
Customer   1   1     5/6/6/7
Customer     2       5/6/6/7
Customer 1     1     4/5/6/7
Customer   1 1       4/5/6/7
Customer 2           4/5/5/6
Customer 1 1         4/5/5/6
Wants 5*4 5*4 5*4 5*4 4*4 4*4  

This tells us that, like casual customers, regular customers, on average, vary little in their demand — the total demand difference between wheat and leeks is only four (4). However, of the 36 possible pairings (where we allow a customer to want a vegetable twice), there are only 14 pairings in the game, and the only vegetables wanted twice are wheat and turnip. Thus, your vegetable production should in part be driven by the demands of the regular customers who appear.

Marketplaces

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Trade Units      
Available Units
Average    Cost 1.00  1.00  1.00  1.15  1.38  1.63 

While the distribution of vegetables for trade is rather equal, we have the situation where there are actually more of the rarer vegetables for trade than the more common one, but for a price. On average, the cost for leeks is 1.63 of your vegetables for 1 leek. (However, as you can only trade full units, this means more often than not, if you need a leek, and you cannot buy one, you’ll be trading 2:1 for it.)

So, at a first glance, this says you probably want to focus on acquiring the customers who desire the more easily produced vegetables, as the chances of meeting their needs is much higher. However, this is only one part of the picture. The other part is the selling price — customers may be willing to pay more Cash for the vegetables that are harder to produce, Cash that you need to progress down the path of prosperity.

If we analyze the demands of the casual customers, by generating an optimization model on a series of linear equations on the six vegetables available (Wheat, Pumpkin, Turnip, Cabbage, Beans, Leeks) by adding a Gratuity variable, and minimize over the sum of the gratuity variables, we find that the following are the average prices paid for each vegetable by Casual Customers:

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks
Average Price 2 2 3 3 4 5

In fact, only 4 customers pay more than these prices. The customers who want Bean, Cabbage, and Pumpkin; Cabbage, Turnip, and Pumpkin; 2 Cabbage and 1 Wheat; and Bean and 2 Cabbage are willing to pay 1 more Cash for these sets of vegetables than the other 10 casual customers.

If we now analyze the demands of the regular customers, by generating an optimization model on a series of linear equations on the six vegetables available (Wheat, Pumpkin, Turnip, Cabbage, Beans, Leeks) by adding a Gratuity variable, and minimize over the sum of the gratuity variables, we find that the following are the average prices paid for each vegetable by regular customers over 4 deliveries:

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks
Average Price 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5

In fact, only four customers don’t pay these prices. Two customers, who want Cabbage and Leeks and Pumpkin and Cabbage, respectively, pay more (an extra 2 Cash), and one customer, who wants Cabbage and Wheat and Wheat and Leeks, respectively, pay less (by 2 Cash).

In other words, when all is said and done, we find that the average price for each vegetable when casual and regular customers are analyzed is the following:

Vegetable Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leeks
Average Price 2.36 2.36 3.00 3.37 4.00 4.64

Each vegetable, with the exception of wheat and pumpkins, while harder to plant and harvest, is worth more, and leeks are worth almost double what wheat and pumpkins are worth. This says that if the opportunity arises to grow leeks and service customers who want leeks, this is the best course of action, but, if the opportunity is not available, given that almost every field can grow turnip, turnip is preferable to wheat and pumpkin, and if your choice is between wheat and pumpkin, you might as well grow wheat as it’s cheaper to buy. Also, there isn’t that much of a premium for cabbage over turnip, but beans are definitely worth pursuing as well. However, if one needs to do a lot of trading to meet demand, it’s best to grow and trade wheat, and even pumpkin, for leeks, beans, and even cabbage.

The Regular Helpers available are:

  • Book-keeper Restock the shop as you see fit. Also, for a chosen vegetable, receive 1 Cash for each field planted with the vegetable.
  • Haggler Once only, buy 2 vegetables of the same kind from the shop for the price of 1.
  • Harvest Helper Harvest 2 vegetables from each field (except home field) that contains 4 or more vegetables OR each field planted this round holds one additional vegetable.
  • Maid you may exchange all vegetables 1:1 at market stalls in one round
  • Market Crier Refill all market stalls with vegetables or sell one to three vegetables from the market stalls to the shop at shop prices.
  • Merchant You may buy, for 1 Cash from the shop, 1 of any vegetable that must be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round.
  • Messenger-Boy Deliver twice to any regular customer in this action phase.
  • Official The buy a “Two-Pack” action is free.
  • Plough-Man Return all vegetables from one (non-Home) field that contains at least two vegetables to the supply. Then, re-sow the field OR immediately harvest from all fields that contain exactly one vegetable.
  • Saleswoman Make all customers satisfied OR all casual customers delivered to this round pay the +2 Cash bonus.
  • Shopper Buy 1 vegetable from the Supply for 2 Cash less than it would in the shop.
  • Squire During the Card Phase, take 1 Card from your hand and up to 3 from the Courtyard.
  • Tenant Farmer Pay 3 Cash to choose the next field from your private fields OR place one empty field under your private supply and select one other field from it.

Some of these helpers can be very useful, but only at the appropriate time. For example, the plough-man can be very useful if you have a number of fields that contain exactly one vegetable – as this can allow for more deliveries, especially in round 9 (or very early when advancing up the path of prosperity multiple spaces is cheaper). However, some of these helpers are more helpful when used in pairs. For example, using the haggler and the merchant allows a player to buy two vegetables that need to be delivered for 1 Cash. The Tenant Farmer followed by the Haggler can allow a player to sow two fields with the same vegetable for the price of 1. Knowing the abilities and interaction abilities allows one to compare the value of a potential helper to a Stall to casual customer to a regular customer to an extra field.

In our next post, we’ll go solo again and see how we do when we put our newfound insights to use.

The (Board) Gamer’s Guide to Supply Management Part XXVIII: At the Gates of Loyang: Part II – Going Solo!

As per our last post, when you are At the Gates of Loyang, you can ply your trade solo. The primary difference between a multi-player game and a solo game, particularly if you don’t use the nine lantern helpers, which we won’t to keep the game simpler, is that, during the distribution round, the courtyard is pre-populated with a 4*3 grid of 12 action cards and discards are only shuffled back into the deck after the first field is emptied. Although one variant allows you to select two cards from the courtyard, we will stick with the one card from your hand and one card from the courtyard rule to keep the game simple and consistent with the multi-player version, and also ignore the buy a “two-pack” option to not only make the gameplay simpler, but allow for easy repeat game-play.

Note that, when selecting cards in the courtyard, cards in the top row are free, cards in the second row cost 1 Cash each, and cards in the third and fourth row cost 2 Cash each.

For those of you who want a multi-media run-through of basic game play, check out the three part series by Rahdo Runs Through:

  1. Gameplay Run-through
  2. Extended Run-through
  3. Final Thoughts

Since we think we’re so smart, and able to fly by the seat of our pants, we’re going to jump right in. We’ll buy and plant Wheat, for 3-Cash, in our 9-plot field in the set-up phase, since we obviously need lots of it by the fact that the shop stocks one more wheat than it does any other vegetable, populate the courtyard, and start the game.

Before we start, note that:
C.C. – Casual Customer
R.C. – Regular Customer
M.S. – Market Stall

 

Round 1:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: 1 Wheat
Acquire: 5-plot Field
Prosperity: 1

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse              
Cart          
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Wheat 8
5 plots 0
Helpers

Helper Ability
                  
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
                                                                                                       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
                       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     

Hand:

  • C.C. 2 Pumpkin / Bean 9
  • 4-Plot Field
  • R.C. Wheat/Leeks 5/6/7/8
  • Helper Merchant – buy 1 vegetable from the shop for 1 Cash if it must be delivered at least twice to regular customers this round

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman
satisfies all R.C. or
all C.C. give +2 bonus
C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks 10 Helper Shopper
2 Cash discount on 1 veg. at Shop
C.C. Wheat/Turnip/Beans 9 R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
3-Plot Field C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
Helper Squire
up to 3 cards from courtyard
Helper Ploughman
re-sow a non-home field with 2+ vegetables
M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2

Card Phase:
1) Hand: Helper Merchant, because we can’t plant leeks (for R.C.), can’t afford to plant in two fields (and don’t need the 4-Plot field), and don’t have pumpkins or beans (for C.C).
2) Courtyard: Wheat/Turnip/Beans 9 for 1 Cash (leaving us with 6 Cash), since the top-row helpers don’t help us now and the C.C. doesn’t need wheat.

Action Phase
1) Buy Turnip for 5 Cash (leaving us with 1-Cash) since the C.C. requires Turnip
2) Sow Turnip in 5-plot field (as that’s what we have)
3) In the Storehouse, store 1 Wheat
4) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 0 space(s) for 0 Cash (as we only have 1 Cash)

 

Round 2:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: Wheat, Turnip
Acquire: 6-plot Field
Prosperity: 1

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse            
Cart        
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Wheat 7
5 plots Turnip 4
6 plots 0
__ plots
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant  buy 1 veg. to be delivered twice to RC for 1 Cash 
                  
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
                                                                                                       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
                       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
Wheat/Turnip/Beans 
     

Hand:

  • C.C. Wheat / 2 Cabbage 9
  • R.C. Wheat/Pumpkin 4/5/5/6
  • Helper Tenant Farmer (3 Cash to choose next field from private field pile or trade an empty field for another in the private field pile)
  • R.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage 5/6/6/7

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks 10 Helper Shopper
3-Plot Field R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
Helper Squire C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10 Helper Ploughman M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2

Card Phase:
1) Hand: R.C. Wheat/Pumpkin 4/5/5/6, as the helper doesn’t help us, the C.C. requires 2 Cabbage we don’t have, and the other R.C. requires 2 vegetables we don’t have
2) Courtyard: M.S. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2 for 1 Cash (and we are now broke) as we need to trade for that Pumpkin to satisfy our R.C.

Action Phase
1) Trade Wheat for Pumpkin at M.S. 1
2) Deliver W/P to R.C. 1 for 4 Cash
3) Buy Pumpkin for 4 Cash
4) Sow Pumpkin in 6-Plot field
5) In the Storehouse, Store 1 Turnip
6) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 0 space(s) for 0 Cash (as we have no Cash)

 

Round 3:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: Wheat, Turnip, Pumpkin
Acquire: 6-plot Field
Prosperity: 1

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse            
Cart      
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Wheat 6
5 plots Turnip 3
6 plots Pumpkin 5
6 plots 0
__ plots
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant buy 1 veg. to be delivered twice to RC for 1 Cash 
                  
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
1  Beans (2) Leeks (2)
                                                                                                       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
1 Wheat/Pumpkin  3 5/5/6 
                       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
Wheat/Turnip/Beans  9
     

Hand:

  • 5-Plot Field
  • 5-Plot Field
  • C.C. Turnip/Cabbage/Leaks 11
  • M.S. Turnip/Cabbage/Leeks 1/2/2

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks 10 Helper Shopper
3-Plot Field R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
Helper Squire C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10 Helper Ploughman 4-Field

Card Phase:
1) Hand: M.S. Turnip/Cabbage/Leeks 1/2/2 (as we can’t use the fields and the C.C. requires two vegetables we do’t have)
2) Courtyard: C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks 10 as we now produce two of the vegetables (and casual customers will wait)

Action Phase
1) Deliver Wheat/Pumpkin to R.C. for 5 Cash
2) Upgrade Storehouse for 2 Cash (leaving us with 3 Cash)
3) In the Storehouse, store 2 Turnip
4) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 1 space(s) for 1 Cash (since we’ve arbitrarily decided 1 Cash is our safety net)

 

Round 4:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: Wheat/Turnip/Pumpkin
Acquire: 4-plot Field
Prosperity: 2

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse            
Cart      
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Wheat 5
5 plots Turnip 2
6 plots Pumpkin 4
6 plots 0
4 plots 0
__ plots
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant  buy 1 veg. to be delivered twice to RC for 1 Cash 
                  
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
1  Beans (2) Leeks (2)
2  Turnip (1) Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
                                                                                                       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
1 Wheat/Pumpkin 2 5/6 
                       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
1 Wheat/Turnip/Beans
2 Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks 10 
     

Hand:

  • R.C. Turnip/Turnip 5/6/6/7
  • M.S. Pumpkin/Turnip/Beans 1/1/1
  • 3-plot Field
  • Helper Bookkeeper (restocks shop as you see fit)

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 Helper Shopper
3-Plot Field C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
Helper Squire Helper Ploughman M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10 M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 4-Plot Field

Card Phase:
1) Hand: R.C. Turnip/Turnip 5/6/6/7 (since the helper won’t help us yet, we have unplanted fields, we already have two market stalls, and we need to serve more customers to get more Cash)
2) Courtyard: Shopper (since we need to start planting, take the shopper to get a vegetable cheaper than usual)

Action Phase
1) Deliver Wheat/Pumpkin to R.C. 1 for 5 Cash (taking us to 7 Cash)
2) Deliver Turnip/Turnip to R.C. 2 for 5 Cash (taking us to 12 Cash)
3) Use Shopper to Buy Turnip from Supply for 3 Cash (taking us back down to 9 Cash)
4) Show Turnip in 6-plot Field (since we now need lots of turnip)
5) Buy Beans from Shop for 6 Cash (to eventually appease C.C. 1 and take us to 3 Cash)
6) Sow Beans in 4-plot Field
7) In the Storehouse, Store 1 Turnip
8) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 1 space(s) for 1 Cash (since we have more than our safety net)

 

Round 5:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: Wheat / 2 Turnip / Pumpkin / Beans
Acquire: 4-plot Field
Prosperity: 3

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse            
Cart    
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Wheat 4
5 plots Turnip 1
6 plots Pumpkin 3
6 plots Turnip 5
4 plots Beans 3
4 plots 0
__ plots
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant  buy 1 veg. to be delivered twice to RC for 1 Cash 
                  
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
1  Beans (2) Leeks (2)
2  Turnip (1) Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
                                                                                                       
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
1 Wheat/Pumpkin 1 6
2 Turnip/Turnip 3 6/6/7
                       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
1 Wheat/Turnip/Beans
2 Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks 10 
     

Hand:

  • R.C. Pumpkin/Turnip 4/5/6/7
  • C.C. Pumpkin/Turnip/Cabbage 9
  • M.S. Pumpkin/Turnip/Cabbage 1/1/1
  • M.S. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1
3-Plot Field C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
Helper Squire Helper Ploughman 4-Plot Field
C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10 M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1

Card Phase:
1) Hand: R.C. Pumpkin/Turnip 4/5/6/7 (as we are producing both vegetables)
2) Courtyard: M.S. Wheat/Pumpkin/Leeks 1/1/1 (as that’s the best stall we can get and we still don’t produce leeks)

Action Phase
1) Deliver Wheat/Turnip/Beans to C.C. 1 for 11 Cash (as we get a +2 bonus for having more regular customers, and now we have 13 Cash)
2) Trade Turnip for Leeks at M.S. 3
3) Deliver Pumpkin/Turnip/Leeks to C.C. 2 for 12 Cash (and now we have 25 Cash)
4) Buy Turnip for 5 (as we need a lot of turnip, and now we are down to 20 Cash)
5) Sow Turnip in 4-plot Field (as that’s our only empty field)
-) Accept that R.C. 1, 2, and 3 are Unhappy (and we’ll lose Cash if we can’t satisfy them in a subsequent round)
6) In the Storehouse, Store nothing (as we have nothing)
7) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 3 space(s) for 12 Cash

 

Round 6:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: Wheat / Pumpkin / 3 Turnip / Beans
Acquire: 3-plot Field
Prosperity: 6

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse              
Cart    
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Wheat 3
6 plots Pumpkin 2
6 plots Turnip 4
4 plots Beans 2
4 plots Turnip 3
3 plots 0
__ plots
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant  buy 1 veg. to be delivered twice to RC for 1 Cash 
                  
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
1  Beans (2) Leeks (2)
2  Turnip (1) Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
3  Wheat (1) Pumpkin (1)
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
1 (U) Wheat / Pumpkin 1
2 (U) Turnip / Turnip 3 6/6/7 
3 (U) Pumpkin / Turnip 4 4/5/6/7 
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     

Hand:

  • R.C. Wheat/Cabbage 4/5/6/7
  • C.C. Turnip/Cabbage/Leeks 11
  • M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 1/1/1
  • Helper Messenger-Boy (deliver twice to any regular customer in one action phase)

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
3-Plot Field C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 4-Plot Field
Helper Squire Helper Ploughman M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1
C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10 M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 Helper Market Crier
refill all market stalls

Card Phase:
1) Hand: Helper Messenger-Boy as we don’t want the regular or casual customer right now, already have 3 stalls, and the messenger-boy might be useful later
2) Courtyard: Market Crier for 2, taking us down to 6 Cash, as his ability will be useful this round

Action Phase
1) Trade Beans for Pumpkin at M.S. 3
2) Deliver Wheat, Pumpkin to R.C. 1 for 6 Cash (taking us up to 12 Cash)
3) Deliver Turnip, Turnip to R.C. 2 for 6 Cash (taking us up to 18 Cash)
4) Deliver Pumpkin, Turnip to R.C. 3 for 4 Cash (taking us up to 22 Cash)
5) Use Market Crier to Refill all Market Stalls
6) Buy Leeks for 6 (and now we’re down to 16 Cash)
7) Sow Leeks in 3-plot
8) In the Storehouse, Store —
9) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 2 space(s) for 9 Cash

 

Round 7:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: Wheat, Pumpkin 2 Turnip, Beans, Leeks
Acquire: 3-plot Field
Prosperity: 8

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse              
Cart  
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Wheat 2
6 plots Pumpkin 1
6 plots Turnip 3
4 plots Beans 1
4 plots Turnip 2
3 plots Leeks 2
3 plots
__ plots
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant  buy 1 veg. to be delivered twice to RC for 1 Cash 
Messenger Boy deliver to any R.C. twice
                  
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
1  Pumpkin (1) Beans (2) Leeks (2)
2  Turnip (1) Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
3  Wheat (1) Pumpkin (1) Leeks (1)
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
2 (U) Turnip / Turnip 2 6/7 
3 (U) Pumpkin / Turnip 3 5/6/7 
                       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     

Hand:

  • R.C. Wheat/Wheat 4/5/5/6
  • R.C. Cabbage/Leeks 7/8/8/9
  • C.C. Pumpkin/Beans/Leeks 11
  • Harvest Helper (harvests 2 vegetables from each field with 4 or more vegetables)

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
3-Plot Field C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 4-Plot Field
Helper Squire Helper Ploughman M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1
C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10 M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 Helper Tenant Farmer

Card Phase:
1) Hand: Helper: Harvest Helper, because we don’t want the regular customers or the casual customer because …
2) Courtyard: R.C. Beans/Leeks 7/8/9/10 will generate more revenue

Action Phase
1) Deliver Pumpkin/Turnip to R.C. 3 for 5 Cash (taking us to 12 Cash)
2) Deliver Beans/Leeks to R.C. 4 for 7 Cash (taking us to 19 Cash)
3) Trade 1 Wheat for 1 Turnip at M.S. 2
4) Deliver Turnip/Turnip to R.C. 2 for 6 Cash (taking us to 25 Cash)
5) Buy Beans for 6 Cash from Shop (since we now need more Beans, and now we have 19 Cash)
6) Sow Beans in 3-Plot (as that’s what we have)
7) In the Storehouse, Store —
8) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 2 space(s) for 11 Cash

 

Round 8:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: Wheat, Pumpkin, 2 Turnip, 2 Beans, Leeks
Acquire: 5-plot Field
Prosperity: 10

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse              
Cart  
Fields

Field Planted Remains
9 plots Wheat 1
6 plots Turnip 2
4 plots Turnip 1
3 plots Leeks 1
3 plots Beans 2
5 plots 0
__ plots
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant  buy 1 veg. to be delivered twice to RC for 1 Cash 
Messenger Boy  deliver to any R.C. twice
Harvest Helper  harvests 2 vegetables from each field with 4 or more
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
1  Pumpkin (1) Beans (2) Leeks (2)
2  Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
3  Wheat (1) Pumpkin (1) Leeks (1)
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
2 (U) Turnip / Turnip 1
3 (U) Pumpkin / Turnip 2 6/7 
4 Beans / Leeks 3 8/9/10 
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     

Hand:

  • R.C. Pumpkin/Leeks 6/7/7/8
  • C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Cabbage 9
  • 5-Plot Field
  • Helper Official (2-pack action is free)

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2
3-Plot Field Helper Ploughman 4-Plot Field
Helper Squire M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1
C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10 R.C. Pumpkin/Beans 5/6/7/8 Helper Tenant Farmer

Card Phase:
1) Hand: Helper Official (as we don’t want another field, a customer who wants cabbage, or another regular customer when we have 3 already)
2) Courtyard: M.S. Turnip/Beans/Leeks 1/2/2 (as we need the Turnip, Cheap)

Action Phase
1) Deliver Beans / Leaks to R.C. 4 for 8 Cash (and now we have 16 Cash)
2) Deliver Turnip / Turnip to R.C. 1 for 7 Cash (and now we have 23 Cash)
3) Trade Wheat for Turnip with M.S. 4
4) Deliver Pumpkin / Turnip to R.C. 3 for 6 Cash (and now we have 29 Cash)
5) Buy Pumpkin from Shop for 4 Cash (as we are out, and need more, and now we have 25 Cash)
6) Sow Pumpkin in 5-Field
7) In the Storehouse, Store Beans
8) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 2 space(s) for 13 Cash

 

Round 9:

Harvest Phase:
Harvest: Wheat, 2 Turnip, 1 Beans, 1 Leeks, 1 Pumpkin
Prosperity: 12

Vegetables

Wheat Pumpkin Turnip Cabbage Beans Leaks Cash
Store  
Storehouse            
Cart   12 
Fields

Field Planted Remains
6 plots Turnip 1
3 plots Beans 1
5 plots Pumpkin 4
__ plots
Helpers

Helper Ability
Merchant  buy 1 veg. to be delivered twice to RC for 1 Cash 
Messenger Boy  deliver to any R.C. twice
Harvest Helper  harvests 2 vegetables from each field with 4 or more
Official  “two-pack” action is free
Market Stalls

Stall Vegetable 1 Vegetable 2 Vegetable 3
1  Pumpkin (1) Beans (2) Leeks (2)
2  Cabbage (2) Leeks (2)
3  Wheat (1) Pumpkin (1) Leeks (1)
4  Beans (2) Leeks (2)
Regular Customers

Customer Wants Buys Left Pays
3 (U) Pumpkin/Turnip 1
4 Beans/Leeks 2 9/10 
                       
Casual Customers

Customer Wants Pays
     

Hand :

  • C.C. Wheat/Pumpkin/Turnip 7
  • Helper Book-keeper (re-stocks shop as you see fit)
  • M.S. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Leeks 1/1/2
  • R.C. Wheat/Pumpkin 4/5/5/6

Courtyard:

Helper Saleswoman C.C. Pumpkin/Cabbage/Beans 10 4-Plot Field
3-Plot Field Helper Ploughman M.S. Wheat/Cabbage/Beans 1/1/1
Helper Squire M.S. Wheat/Beans/Leeks 1/1/2 Helper Tenant Farmer
C.C. Wheat/Cabbage/Leeks 10 R.C. Pumpkin/Beans 5/6/7/8 Helper Shopper

Card Phase:
1) Hand: Book-keeper (as we don’t want customers we can’t deliver to)
2) Courtyard: 4-Plot Field (as we don’t want to pay for anything)

Action Phase
1) Deliver Pumpkin/Turnip to R.C. 3 for 7 Cash (and take us to 19 Cash)
2) Trade Wheat for Leeks with M.S. 3 (because we can use Leeks)
3) Use Messenger Boy to Deliver Beans/Leeks twice to R.C. 4 for 18 Cash (taking us to 37 Cash)
4) Advance up the Path of Prosperity 3 space(s) for 30 Cash

End the game on jade stone 15 on the Path of Prosperity and 7 Cash.

This is not too bad for our first game, but considering a careful reading of the rules say a “Good” player will reach stone 17, not too good either. We should have done better. And, had we did our homework and analyzed the game marketplace, we probably would have. That’s why, in our next post, we are going to do an initial analysis of the game and our (potential) marketplace options to see if we can do better next time.

 


I want to plant
I want to trade
I want to walk down the path
That’s covered in jade
I want to go out
And trade the grain
At the Gates of Loyang