Category Archives: Best Practices

A Slow Cautious Approach to Pulling Out of China May Be Justified …

… but the justification has NOTHING to do with geopolitical events or economic factors, as suggested by this recent SCMR article. First of all, those are always in flux. Secondly, neither of these factors are the ones that could be limiting your ability to peel out.

There are two primary factors that could be limiting your ability to peel out of China:

  1. available production capability
  2. source material availability

And these are the only factors you should be considering when you are considering how [do] you reconfigure the global supply chain. Because, unless you are selling in Asia, you HAVE to get out of China if you want stable supply streams.

Available Production Capability

First of all, are there alternative near-shore plants? If not, you’re stuck until you (co-)invest in one, get it built, get it up and running, and verify the quality is acceptable. If there are, can they produce the products you need in the quantities you need, or at least a reasonable percentage? If so, are the quality and service levels sufficient. If there are three or more near-shore suppliers that can collectively meet your needs, you shift a considerable amount of your award to them immediately (depending on existing contracts, the time-frames for the suppliers to fully ramp up to support your business, and the time-frames your organization needs to get ready to support the shift) and start the process of shifting all of your award to them.

Source Material Capability

You also have to consider where the raw materials are coming from, and how easy it will be for your suppliers to get sufficient stacks of the materials you need in steady supply. For example, if you need lithium-ion batteries produced by current processes, you need cobalt. 73% of today’s cobalt comes from the Democratic Republic of Cobalt (DRC). The DRC has considerable trade agreements with Qatar. So while the country has bilateral trade agreements with over 50 countries, its relationship with Qatar could cause you problems if you want to use a producer in the middle east NOT in Qatar if another diplomatic crisis (like the one in 2017) arises.

Also, China is the largest producer of grains, gold, coal, rare earth minerals, and two hundred (200) plus other materials, components, and products, so if your production depends on any of these materials, components, or products, you need to make sure your suppliers are located in countries who have good relations with China or have already locked up enough secondary sources to guarantee your product production will be uninterrupted.

That’s it. Yes, you have to consider the economics, because you can’t pay 50% more and not seriously upset (and lose) your (current and potential) customers with the price increase that will result, but with proper investments in new processes, equipment, and talent, costs can be reduced anywhere in the world, and all it will take for the potential supplier to make these investments is enough guaranteed business from you. (So make it so!)

Of course e-Auctions and Smart Procurement Can Help Beat the Current Chaos …

… and when the doctor saw yet another obvious headline that was something he would have expected to see two decades ago, he was quite tempted to click past it as he’s already seen forty plus regurgitations of the same message over the past two decades. However, the subheading was something new … “CIO’s should engage with their procurement colleagues to understand how they could benefit from more sophisticated IT purchasing“. Many an article touts the value of Procurement, especially in tough times, and many more tout the value of IT Procurement (with a modern emphasis on SaaS), but not many tout the importance of collaboration, especially in tough markets. So seeing this subheading at the top of a recent article on The Stack was welcome.

The reality is that if organizations want to get through these tough times, every department that has to buy needs to work with Procurement, and we mean work, not just use. It will require a mix of category expertise, market expertise, process expertise, and procurement platform expertise to be successful. Procurement can bring the procurement platform, process, and some of the generic market expertise, but it will need the category experts in the various parts of the business to bring the expertise on supplier capability and the category expertise it is missing.

IT Procurement is not easy. A modern organization has to procure:

  • SaaS solutions — where you have no idea what you should be paying (without a SaaS market specialist, who can only get you within a range)
  • cloud computing / rack-space — to run your back office, store your documents, build your custom cloud offerings — and you have little idea how much you should really be paying here either (without a specialist, as all you know is the public quotes)
  • office computing equipment (laptops, tablets, smartphones, etc.) — and while you get plenty of “market intelligence” on public sites like Amazon, Walmart, Best Buy, etc.), how accurate is it when you sometimes see $400 discounts on a $1000 machine … you need to know the specs, the warranty, etc. and how they compare to similar machines … and how much better an i7 is compared to an i5, and if you even need an i7 when all the machine is going to do is access SaaS solutions and run Microsoft Office

And IT is not the only category where the right mix of Procurement know-how and category expertise from the end-user is needed. Most categories in engineering, back-office, maintenance, pharma, etc. require a lot of specialist expertise.

But with the right expertise, success is guaranteed. Prices might go up (that’s what happens during inflationary times), but Procurement can keep those increases to a minimum, and at a point less than what the competition is seeing. And that’s the worst case. In the best case, inflation has not yet hit the category and good processes and practices actually reduce the cost. And in both cases, the supply will be stable, secure, and of at least standard quality. So use Procurement Processes and Practices. They can only help.

Sourcing and Supply Chain Jobs CAN NOT Be Automated

Raconteur recently published a great article that noted that the next big shortage to watch [is] supply chain skills, and they were entirely correct when they noted that it’s ironic that the profession struggles with its own supply of talent. They were even more on the money when they said walk into a meeting of supply chain managers and you might wonder whether you’ve stepped back in time several decades because the statistic published in 2021 by Logistics UK that 89% of people working in logistics and supply chain are men.

Furthermore, they scored the hat trick when they noted that employers are struggling to find talent, and that is because not enough talent is entering the industry. Why is this? That’s a good question, and unfortunately Raconteur stopped with the hat-trick because the rationale they gave for lack of new entrants is only part of the problem.

According to Raconteur, the reasons for the lack of recruits are:

  1. Procurement is high on the list of roles at risk of being automated to extinction
  2. The recent slew of media reports highlighting failures in important supply chains may be deterring potential new entrants away

And while constant claims of procurement automation and constant reports of failures are unattractive, it is not the core problem (but merely the manifestation of the problem).

The real problems are the continuing:

  1. Lack of Marketing by the Profession (and why a Procurement/Supply Chain Manager is someone who’s cool)
  2. Lack of Education in most/leading University programs

Corporations who value engineers do great advertising on how cool it is to be an engineer working for them (think Siemens). Oil & Gas and Mining industries who need geologists and specialists to find new deposits do great advertising on how cool it is to be an explorer in the modern world. SaaS / Social Media companies that need great software developers do great advertising on how it is super cool to be a techie. Have you ever seen any corporation ever make it super cool to be in Procurement or Supply Chain? Even Apple, which won on supply chain management, never advertised how cool it would be to be a supply chain manager for them. As a result, Procurement and Supply Chain only recently entered the general vocabulary, and most people only paid attention as a result of the massive failures that came to light under the pandemic*.

Most University programs, two decades after we needed courses on modern Procurement and Supply Chain Management, still only teach classical Operations Research and Logistics. Logistics is important, but the age of Logistics was two decades ago. As Will Smith told us back in 2002, no one wants to be in the old and busted driver’s seat (see the clip). They want to drive the new hotness, but all Universities want to teach them is how to drive the same old and busted processes and practices the Professors learned in the 1980s (which were taught to them by the Professors who invented them in the 1960s).

Since Universities aren’t modernizing, no one graduating understands what Procurement and Supply Chain really is, so when all they hear from the media is failure, why would they want to even look into a profession that is apparently as high stress and fraught with risk as a surgeon or a defense attorney? Furthermore, since companies aren’t even spending a dollar on promoting how cool it is, and how much they need these people, it’s not a stretch to believe that the companies aren’t promoting it because they plan to automate it.

But Procurement cannot be automated. Technology can automate tactical procurement tasks such as:

  • regular restock reorders
  • auto-PO generation and delivery
  • auto-invoice matching / auto-correction requests
  • third-party supplier data validation through APIs
  • auto-supplier discovery from third party networks
  • auto-supplier risk profiling from third party data feeds
  • etc.

because technology is good at the “thunking” — the semi-mindless processing of electronic paperwork to make sure the i’s dotted, the t’s crossed, and the request valid as per business rules. However, technology, especially technology powered by Automated Idiocy, is NOT good at the thinking. You need Procurement Professionals, Sourcing and Supply Chain Superstars for those tasks, which permeate the entire Source to Order and Order to Delivery supply chain cycles. For example, as a counter to the above, technology cannot

  • adequately adapt to highly dynamic demand changes (especially when it doesn’t know why)
  • determine when new products or services NOT in the system will need to be ordered to support one time projects, replace products that will not arrive on time due to supply chain disruptions, replace services where the provider loses the resource with the proper training and certifications, etc.
  • handle the negotiation on the 1% to 5% of invoices where the provider won’t correct the missing information or the pricing on an auto-request
  • be able to validate the API where a human has to call another human to get the necessary information
  • find new, innovative, suppliers NOT in the connected network
  • customize the risk-based vetting to the specific need and acceptable thresholds
  • etc.

So, yes, some of the accounts payable paper pushers are going to lose their jobs as the thunking takes over, but that’s NOT Procurement, and definitely NOT Strategic Sourcing and Supply Chain where a human IS desperately needed. And yes, you will need to be familiar with the best of modern technology as a new professional in our field, as the job will soon be impossible without it, and you will need the augmented intelligence it provides to be efficient, but the technology cannot replace you.

So join us. And run the modern world.

* Not brought on by the pandemic as it was bad supply chain design and management that resulted in the pandemic breaking supply chains. Had the supply chains been properly designed, all the pandemic would have done was slowed them down. So don’t blame the pandemic. In fact, if you want to place blame, remember it was the Big X and mid-sized consultancies which started the ridiculous outsourcing craze instead of helping us improve the home-source and near-source supply chains we had that were working great, and put us in the situation where we have to reconfigure global supply chains all over again, and then remember YOU agreed to it!

Dear (Software) Vendor: If you Missed the Ten (+ 2 Bonus) Best Practices for Success, Time to Catch Up Now!

  • Part 1 Best Practices #1 to #3
  • Part 2 Best Practices #4 to #7
  • Part 3 Best Practices 8 to 10
  • Part 4 Bonus Best Practice #1
  • Part 5 Bonus Best Practice #2

In twenty years as an independent analyst and consultant, the doctor has never encountered a small/mid-size vendor who wasn’t doing at least one of these, usually there were a couple they weren’t doing, and the lack of these practices (and knowledge) was (and sometimes still is) holding these vendors back. In other words, you definitely should read these. We are only posting these articles once.

Ten Best Practices for (Software) Vendors, Part 5 (Yet Another Bonus Tip)

In this series we went over the ten best practices that you as a startup or small vendor should be aware of and address appropriately if you want any hope of growing and scaling a successful vision beyond blind luck. We did this because the majority of analysts and experts don’t give you this insight in the clear cut fashion to help you understand what you need, why you need it, and who you need it from (in the form of an expert) to get you where you need to be.

While buyers need a lot of help, and the primary purpose of Sourcing Innovation is to give them the insight into the market, the vendors, the best practices, and the knowledge they need to be successful, Sourcing Innovation realizes it also needs to help vendors because buyers need better solutions as well as better education, and they won’t get those better solutions without successful vendors to deliver them.

And while the challenges might be too numerous to ever fully cover on any publication, as the list of best practices would get very long indeed, many are very niche and would only help a few vendors and can be overlooked with the goal of addressing, and solving, all the common issues first and if the niche ones are significant, then a vendor can engage an expert for a short period of time to address them.

To date, we have covered the following 11 best practices in this series:

  1. Identify the Market Sector You Are Competing In
    … and the Niche Your Solution is Targeting
  2. Do Your Market Research
  3. Define Your Target Industries
  4. Identify the Core Pain Points Your Solution Will Address in the First Release
  5. Understand the Data Needs and Design the Full Data Model
  6. Understand the Current Customer Processes and Typical Restrictions
  7. Don’t Overlook the UX (User Experience)
  8. Get the Messaging Right
  9. Price It Right
  10. Get Advice AND Listen to It
  11. Get The Help You Need! (And Get It Sooner Than Later!)

They are all important, but they don’t cover everything. And while we shouldn’t have to cover this 12th bonus practice, because it should be covered by Best Practice #8 and #10, given the state of the the technology space today, we have to bring it into the limelight.

#12 Don’t Mention AI. Not Even Once. Not Even If You Are Using Proper AI!

Customers are looking for vendors who are offering solutions, not buzzwords. Who are offering solutions that provide repeatable, explainable, provable answers, not random, black-box, suspect answers that could be based in fact or fiction, especially if trained off of random internet data with no fact checking or supervised learning.

Maybe AI gets you analyst attention (and it might be required to get ranked high in some analyst reports, but as we’ve already explained, that’s complete bullshit and we would not expect those analyst firms to stick around very long, or stick to this if they want to stick around and be taken seriously), but as more and more buyers experience the false promises of “AI” first hand (and push back against analyst firms that only push AI vendors on them), we expect customers to start blacklisting vendors that only sell “AI” and not actual solutions or services (and analyst firms that only push “AI” vendors on them).

Maybe AI gets some potential customer attention because you must be a technology advanced vendor to be using AI, if your claims are true, but all it’s going to do at a smart company (and you don’t want dumb customers in tech, they always cost more than they pay you) is get you in the door, and if you can’t deliver a good demo, and convince the C-Suite (who, seeing all these failures, are, or soon will be, becoming suspicious of AI for AI’s sake) you have a valuable solution that is guaranteed to deliver a significant ROI, you’re not going to get the sale.

Furthermore, as we’ve said over and over again, there is no true AI (at least Level 4) and anyone with a working brain who uses that brain knows this to be true. Your target customers are beginning to realize that most solutions are Augmented Intelligence (Level 2) at best, and often only Assisted Intelligence (Level 1), and then only for specific functions or insights, which are often a very small subset of everything they are expecting the solution to do.

Plus, any advanced capability that is reliable is not based on some random, black box, untrained mystic technology, it’s based on specific algorithms, trained on known data sets, and tweaked with a well defined set of parameters in a well defined range that have known, predictable, responses to specific data sets and situations. More specifically, we’re talking parametric curve fitting, (MILP) optimization, clustering, pattern matching, neural networks, deep learning networks, etc.

Thus, instead of just claiming “AI”, you should name the technologies, describe how you’ve applied the technology to solve the problem, be prepared to overview the validations you applied, and summarize the results you achieved and how much better they consistently are compared to more traditional algorithms and solutions the buyer is likely using at the present time, if they are using any solutions at all. This will get the buyer’s attention and prove that you know what you’re doing and your technology is an actual solution, not buzzword vapourware.

At the end of the day, customers want success, and AI, on its own, does not guarantee success. (In fact, unhindered AI guarantees failure if utilized long enough. That’s the beauty of probability and statistics. Eventually anything built purely on black box statistics WILL FAIL!) Plus, many buyers are old school, barely trust tech as it is, and are very worried that AI will take their jobs (and even if it can’t, they believe that management is looking for every opportunity to use AI and replace them, even if the technology is inferior, so the last thing they want to do is bring in technology that management could try to use against them). So not only can focussing on AI undermine the power of your solution, but AI can turn off potential customers who want to feel safe in their jobs.

We’re not saying to lie about using AI, or to avoid the discussion when you get in front of the customer, we’re just saying don’t follow the crowd and the hype and don’t focus your marketing on AI. Focus on the solution. “AI” is just another tool in the technology development tool belt. It’s not a solution on its own. And customers need solutions, not Automated Idiocy. Finally, here’s another bonus best practice.

#12B … And Don’t Use AI to Write Your User Manuals, Thought Leadership, Blog Articles, or Sales Materials Either!