Category Archives: Market Intelligence

Technological Damnation #77 e-Currency

We started out our series with the Economic Damnation of Currency Strength, which, thanks to the recent unexpected fluctuations in certain global currencies, probably has you shaking in your boots. But if you think trying to manage real currency exchange is bad, just wait until you have to start using non-country based e-Currency, like Bitcoin.

Bitcoin, a peer-to-peer payment system released as open source software in 2009, allows users to transact without using an intermediary using a decentralized virtual currency (or crypto currency) which has a value defined by the global market based on the fact that it’s limited and once all of it has been “mined”, there are no more units. Because of its structure, new units cannot be issued on a whim (whereas a country can print as much money as it wants, at the risk of hyperinflation), and, as a result, it’s value can, and has, skyrocket(ed) over night.

For example, up until late 2013, Bitcoin’s value was negligible, at which point it skyrocketed to a value of over one hundred. It stayed there for almost a year until early 2014 when it skyrocketed up to a value of almost 1200, before, over the last year, crashing back down to about 200 (in US dollars). On January 18, 2013 it’s value was 15.70. On April 9, 2013 it was $230. On April 16, 2013 it was 68.36. On May 4, 2013 it stabilized around 112.90. It stayed there until around October 15 when it began to skyrocket to 1,147.25 on December 4, 2013 then it crashed back to 522.23 on December 18, 2013 returned to 940.10 on January 5, 2014 and since then has been on a downward fall until January 18, 2015 when it was 199.56.

As virtual / crypto currency is still in its infancy, shocks like this can be expected and can be much more devastating than the recent drop in the Ruble. And, even worse, now that many vendors are starting to accept crypto currency as payment from global consumers that trust the currency, they will be expecting to pay with the currency as well. And your organization will have to hedge against new crypto currencies, which might also include Litecoin and Darkcoin (as well as a dozen others), as well as existing currencies. The fun is just beginning.

Do You Know the Difference Between Direct and Indirect?

Direct materials are typically classified as raw materials, standard or specialized parts, and sub-assemblies required to manufacture a product. As a result, direct goods and services are typically classified as those goods and services that are strategically important to the organization. For example, for a CPG it is the goods it sells, for a Pharmaceutical it is the chemicals and biological materials it uses for research and drug production, and for a Bank it is the systems and market intelligence feeds it uses to run.

Indirect goods are those goods and services that are not strategically important to the organization. For example, for a CPG it is back office systems, for a Pharmaceutical it is office suppliers, and a and for a Bank it is office supplies.

However, these back office systems for the CPG are strategic for a software and services reseller. Office supplies are strategic for the office supplies vendor and janitorial services are strategic for the janitorial services provider.

But it’s not just the type of organization that determines whether a good is direct or indirect, it’s the organization’s place in the supply chain. What’s direct at one level is indirect at the next. And knowing where you are in the chain not only lets you know how to approach the category but how your supplier approaches the category. And, more importantly, where in the chain the most savings can be obtained.

Societal Damnation #38: The Sharing Economy

Sharing is a good thing? Right? Isn’t that what we’re all taught when we are young?

Well, yes, unless you are the one who isn’t being shared with, or the one who refuses to share. And if you are the one who refuses to share, you may find that not only are you without partners, but without means as well.

As covered in our recent series on the “Future” of Procurement in our first Shiny New Shoes post, The Sharing Economy is one of the few true future trends of the space. And while it’s a breath of fresh air to one who is constantly inundated with futurist drivel, to the average Procurement Professional that is still trying to come to turns with the foundational values of strategic sourcing and the collaboration it requires with core suppliers, it’s downright scary. So scary, in fact, that it can be considered the next in a wave of plagues to descend upon an average Procurement department, still struggling to replace the fax machine with a web-enabled e-Sourcing Solution.

While this sharing economy is currently in the domain of individuals like you and I, and a handful of small businesses who have latched on, this share economy is going to migrate to medium sized businesses en-masse and, when properly utilized, give these businesses access to the latest and greatest technology and economies of scale that these medium-sized businesses will be unable to acquire on their own. Can’t afford to buy that new automation and production system that increases throughput, improves quality, and decreases natural resource consumption? No problem. Form a cooperative with quasi-competitors, build a new factory with the new production technology, and effectively time-share it (for the operating cost). This will put medium-sized businesses on the same playing field as large enterprises and level the playing field in ways that have not yet been thought of. The hippies succeeded and their ideas changed the world — 50 years later.

But it might not be a world your organization gets to conduct business in if it cannot accept, embrace, and form the new reality to its advantage. How will it do this? It will start by identifying opportunities that it cannot achieve on its own. Then it will have to identify what partners it would need to bring those opportunities within its grasp. Finally, it will need to put together a plan to unite those partners and execute it to completion.

This may sound easy, but adopting the necessary mindset, convincing others inside and outside of the company, and then working together across organizations as a team while each member collectively fights on behalf of their respective organization for what they perceive their share of the market to be will not be easy. It will be challenging, but the persistent will prevail. It’s just one labour. Hercules had twelve.

The Dirty Dozen (A 101 Damnations Preamble)

No, we are not referring to the 1967 Robert Aldrich war film based on E.M. Nathanson’s 1965 novel about 12 prisoners who are recruited for an attack on a chateau on the night before the D-Day invasion of June 6, but instead the 12 types of damnations that plague you and your Procurement organization on a daily basis.

As we indicated in yesterday’s post, there are dozens upon dozens of challenges being thrown at us on a daily basis. And whether or not they are hurled at us with malicious intent is irrelevant — they still cause us nothing but grief and agony and divert our attention away from strategic planning, (should-cost) modelling, and supply assurance.

In fact, as our upcoming series will unveil, there are (at least) 101 damnations that we have to contend with on a daily basis. And that’s too many to address without some sort of framework. That’s why we have the dirty dozen — the 12 factions of risk, stress, and, in some cases, even malice that attempt to thwart us at every turn and hasten our decline from the order we create with our awards and partnerships into the chaos that, in the end, brings about the downfall of every organization.
Need we remind you that three of the most profitable companies ever, adjusted for inflation, were the Dutch East India Company, the South Sea Company, and the Mississippi Company (which were worth approximately 7.4 Trillion, 4 Trillion, and 6 Trillion in 2012 dollars) are now defunct? Like the Microsoft, Apple, and Exxon-Mobil’s of today, they were worth more than many countries, but corruption, uncontrolled speculation, and the bursting of a real-estate bubble brought each of these companies to ruin.

In the series that follows we will address each of the primary damnations in each of these categories. However, before we begin, will define each of these categories so that you may get a glimpse of the terror within.

  • Economic
    Everything the economy can throw at you from fiscal crisis to currency shocks to employment swings and the shocks they bring to your supply chain.
  • Infrastructural
    Planes, Trains, and Automobiles; the tracks and roads they travel on; and the services (water, energy, waste, etc.) infrastructure we all rely on.
  • Environmental
    Resource shortages, waste and pollution, and the fury of mother earth.
  • Geopolitical
    Governmental spats, global treaties and embargoes, and political unrest.
  • Regulatory
    Taxes, trade requirements, material bans, and labeling requirements.
  • Societal
    Crime, piracy, fraud, corruption, education, talent, worker’s right, unionization and the whims of the masses.
  • Technological
    Production technology, cyberspace, 3-D printing, robotics, IP & patents, and quantum leaps.
  • Influential
    Analysts, pundits, consortiums, and conferences. Where does the pied piper lead the rats?
  • Organizational
    Engineering, Marketing, Sales, Legal, and every other department (that might be out to get you).

  • Authoritative
    Shareholders, the Board, and your activist investors.
  • Providers
    Suppliers, carriers, BPOs/GPOs, and everyone else who can pull the supply chain rug from under your feet.
  • Consumers
    Governments, corporations, end consumers and the dollars you depend on.

Happy New Year! Welcome to Hell.

One thing SI has always endeavoured to do is speak the truth. (That’s why there’s an ever-growing list of e-CHAOS vendors who will not have anything to do with SI and it’s no NDA, no play and no demo, no blog memo policy.) So SI is going to be the first blog to speak the truth and the truth is that, despite the ever growing importance of Procurement in a world where up to 80% of organizational spend is outside of its four walls, Procurement organizations still don’t get no respect. Whether they realize it or not, the average CPO is the Rodney Dangerfield of the C-Suite, except not nearly as popular. And that’s in the 9% of organizations lucky enough to have a CPO or a head of Procurement that sits at the table. Of the remaining 91% of organizations, only 51% have a CPO (or VP-level head of Procurement) and in the remaining 40% of organizations, there isn’t even a real Procurement organization with a real leader.

If Procurement organizations got the respect they deserved, not only would we have more than 9% of organizations with CPOs at the table, but 100% of these CPOs, instead of a mere 40%, would report to the CEO! While there are a few exceptions, they are as rare as a brass monkey’s red bollocks and even many of the situations where it looks like it is an exception, it’s not and the head of Procurement is probably walking around with a “kick-me” sign taped to her back.

But no respect is just the tip of the iceberg. When it comes to a day in the life of an average Procurement Professional, if that was all they had to deal with, life would be relatively easy. From the time they get up in the morning until the time they pass out, it’s one emergency after another, one demand after another, and one impossible goal after another. The shipment, that was never ordered, is late. Engineering needs more JIT configuration options. The C-Suite is demanding 8% savings on a category where the cost of the primary raw material, that constitutes 40% of the category cost, has risen 20% in the last year. (So even if there was 8% savings a year ago, that savings opportunity has now been cancelled out.)

And that’s just the internal stress. There are also dozens upon dozens of external economic, infrastructure, environmental, sustainability, geopolitical, regulatory, societal, customer, technological, and market stresses beating down on the Procurement organization on a daily basis. Currency strength is becoming unpredictable. Postal Services are deep in debt and would fail if not propped up by the government. Waste is becoming a serious problem and legislations are cropping up around the globe banning certain substances that lead to dangerous and toxic waste. Natural and man-made disasters are increasing at a rampant pace (and expected to increase five-fold over the next fifty years) and causing supply chain disruptions left, right, and centre. Governments are enacting new trade legislation and embargoes overnight. Tariff codes, updated weekly in some countries, are becoming nearly impossible to comprehend. Brand value is becoming more important than product quality. Technologies are changing faster than an organization can adapt. The market is in a constant state of flux. And the organization is united against you.

And even though proper Procurement is the one saving grace an organization has amidst the chaos of the modern global marketplace, Procurement professionals in many organizations have been relegated to hell. While Engineering, which only has to deal with Phil, The Prince of Insufficient Light, has it made, Procurement is still locked in the boiler room, and that’s only because the average organization runs out of an office building. (If businesses were run out of castles, Procurement would be in the dungeon.)

To prove my point, if Procurement got the respect it deserved in many organizations, it wouldn’t be fighting hopeless battles for budgets of less than 100K to get started on its e-Sourcing or e-Procurement journey, to bring in category experts who can often save ten times their fee on a large category, to get its team the training it needs, or to hire enough man-power to make sure that even if there isn’t enough time to strategically source the top 80% of the spend under its purview, that spend would at least be under management and tracked for future analysis and strategic sourcing. But most Procurement organizations are under-staffed, under-trained, and under-funded and expected to deliver miracles with faxes, spreadsheets, and a copy of the Wall Street Journal.

It’s hell. And we’re kidding ourselves if we don’t admit that it’s going to stay that way. But all is not lost. As the saying goes, it’s better to reign in hell than serve in heaven — and there’s no better time to make it happen than now, the 443rd year (20156). Not only is 443 a very special year as it is a rare prime (Eisenstein, Chen and Sophe-Germaine), but it’s the port number for HTTPS. It’s geeky, but so are the big brains we use to do our jobs. So in this, the 443rd, we’re going to learn what we need to in order to secure our rightful place in the organization.

So how are we going to rule in hell? First we’re going to learn to conquer every seemingly impossible task that our enemies throw our way. Then we’re going to use their own sins against them to take control. How are we going to do that? We’re going to start by studying the internal and external stresses that plague our existence so that we may learn to overcome them. Once we understand what we’re up against, we can formulate a game plan to come out on top. And once we’ve conquered all that is thrown at us, we can learn how to exploit the weaknesses of those who would stand against us. Only then will the days of the mad men be numbered and only then will we, by hook or by crook, begin to take our rightful place as the left hand of the CEO while the COO, CIO, and CMO cower at our feet (as the importance of all but the CFO, who will be fully dependent on our success, and the CEO, who will be forever in our debt, will be minimized).

However, this won’t be an easy task. Our enemies are many and the challenges they throw at us appear to be without end. But while there is infinite variety in their assaults, the enemies we have are aligned into only a dozen or so factions and the challenges they devise are usually variations on a dozen themes. It’s a long list, but, at least for the time being, a numerable one.

So, starting next week, we are going to enumerate this list, one by one, in our ground breaking, illuminating, blog series: 101 Damnations. (Because 50 Shades of Pay [50 shades of pay spend analysis many profitable pleasures, Spend Matters] doesn’t even tell half of the story!)

It’s time to get started. LOLCat is waiting for us to complete our journey.