Category Archives: Market Intelligence

If Mark Anderson is Right, it’s a Long Road to Recovery

According to a recent article in Strategy+Business on a return, not to normal, but to reality, Mark Anderson believes that three critical measures need to be put in place before serious recovery can begin:

  1. Better Protection of Intellectual Property

    Considering that most protection seems to revolve around patents that are abused by software patent pirates, not much progress has been made here.

  2. Reforms to Prevent Jackals and Vampires from Dominating the Market

    Specifically, reforms to prevent short sellers (jackals) and sophisticated investors who take profits without contributing either market balance or information (vampires) from dominating the markets. No progress has been made on this front either.

  3. Rebuilding of the Manufacturing Base of the Industrialized World

    Considering the outsourcing craze is still in full gear, especially now that even China is outsourcing to Africa, it could be a while before the manufacturing base in the developing world can even dream of being close to capacity again. Despite the fact that they haven’t learned the lessons of their peers who have found that they needed their expertise in-house and that the offshoring machine didn’t work very well.

Plus, thanks to the glut of hot money in the global liquidity pool, when the damaged parts of the split economies begin to come back, this liquidity will likely create a whiplash effect, throwing countries into hyperinflation before they can respond effectively. It seems inevitable.

And with the unemployment rate predicted to stay at 10% overall, it’s looking like a very long road to recovery.

So make sure to get your supply chain in order … you’re going to need the competitive advantage!

How to Build a Bat House (Repost)

Once upon a time, there was a beautiful old wooden hotel in the North Country. The owner had coaxed an award-winning chef with a new family away from the hurry-scurry of the big city, so the food was fabulous. The staff were locals imbued with the history of the region and an encyclopedic knowledge of hiking trails, scenic vistas, off-the-beaten-track cross-country trails, and so on. The cleaning staff took pride in ensuring that floors and woodwork were polished, the rooms were well-equipped, and bathrooms were spotless. The fixtures and furniture were old but functional, and the atmosphere was charming, down to the homemade quilts on the beds, each one individually selected.

Eventually the owner, beset with health problems, sold the business to a bright young entrepreneur. Several years later, there was an economic downturn, and revenues fell off. The new owner seized the opportunity to cut costs. He replaced the chef with the sous-chef, at a much lower salary. He revised the menu to remove the most costly items. He instituted a retirement buy-out for the original staff, replacing them with rent-a-clerks and teenagers. He replaced the maids with a commercial cleaning service, and traded the difficult-to-clean quilts for store-bought linens and coverlets. He was able to decrease the room rates by 25%.

To the new owner’s dismay, revenues continued to fall. Former customers were turning up at the local Best Western and Holiday Inn franchises, whose newer buildings and minimalist rooms consistently undercut his prices, no matter how much he lowered them. He was forced to close one wing of the old hotel, then another, and more of the staff were let go. Finally, he had to shut the business entirely. After a while, windows blew out and bats moved in, hence the title of this story.

About six months later, the young man met the old owner for dinner. “I’m sorry about what happened to the old place,” he said. “The economy tanked, and no matter what I did to cut costs and lower prices, we just couldn’t recover.” The former owner stared into his wine glass for a while. Then he shrugged, looked up, and asked, “What reason did people have to stay in your hotel? The food was mediocre; the rooms had lost their charm; you fired everyone who cared about the guests, or who could help them enjoy their visit; and poorly-paid commercial cleaners will do the bare minimum, if that.” The young man asked, “What should I have done?” The old man shook his head. “Who knows,” he said. “But people always need vacations, and when times are tough they want an extra-special place to stay. I’d have made it more special, not less special; and I might even have increased my rates and my advertising. Heck, if someone is paying $200 a night for a room, $220 isn’t much of a sacrifice.”

The young man smiled tolerantly. “Yes, but this downturn is different. Everyone’s in trouble. Businesses are failing left and right.” The old man refilled his glass. “I’m sure you’re right,” he said. “Who can say whether my strategy would have worked?” The two men began applying themselves to their meals. Between forkfuls, the young man asked, “So, what are you doing with yourself these days?” “Oh, ” said the old man, “nothing special. The doctors eventually figured out what was wrong with me and fixed it, so I got restless and bought an old ski lodge about a year ago. We renovated the rooms, brought in a French chef, put in an outdoor 4-season pool, and recruited a bunch of savvy locals to run the place.”

How are you doing?

“We’re booked solid.”

Editor’s Note: This post, contibuted by Anonymous, originally ran on March 31, 2009. It is being reposted because too many businesses are still building bat houses. If this trend continues, it’s likely that there will be no avoiding a double dip recession that everyone is so fearful of. Just like Marketing is NOT optional, neither is forward advancement. There is no holding pattern in business. There is victory or death. Choose one.

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Will Apple Save You More on Print and Marketing than Negotiation Ever Will?

As I mentioned in my recent post on how marketing is a huge savings opportunity, last year, the Marketing Supply Chain Institute released “Define Where to Streamline: Making Marketing Supply Chains More Efficient, Agile, and Enviro-Friendly” (registration required) that noted that, with good visibility, an average marketing organization can easily find 20% to 25% savings with Procurement’s help.

About ten pages in, the report lists the top five areas where the marketing supply chains could realize sustainability gains (which are the ultimate key to long term savings). These are:

  • print, production, warehousing, and delivery
  • transportation and logistics (of material)
  • packaging and material
  • meetings, user conferences, & events
  • merchandising & point-of-sale displays

And they all have one thing in common: printed paper. First you print the fliers and brochures and inserts and then you transport them to your facilities and events and points of sale for distribution and use. If you could reduce your paper costs, which aren’t ever going to go down as wood becomes more precious, and printing costs, which are going to stay as high as the price of ink, you could substantially increase your savings.

Thanks to Apple, and the iPod, iPhone, and iPad madness, you can now do just that! 3 Million iPads in less than eighty days, and sales are still going strong. Pre-orders for the iPhone 4 racked up to 600,000 units so fast that the providers had to stop taking them. And there are over thirty million iPod Touches in the wild already. (With many more on their way now that Apple has a promotion that students get a free one with a new Mac.)

Thanks to Apple, the paperless world of ST:TNG is almost here and it won’t be long before everyone has their own personal electronic pad (be it an iPhone, an iPod touch, or, more likely, an iPad). And if you take advantage of it (like other early adopters), you will save a fortune in the long run. (Many conferences have already put their schedules and proceedings on Apple’s iPlatform, including the 2010 International Builders’ Show, Social Media Week Toronto, and the GameHorizon Conference 2010.) If you’re an organizer, you can choose to go i and dictate no printed materials. If it’s a large conference, you can negotiate with Apple for an “educational” discount and anyone who doesn’t already have an iMobile can have the price of one included in their conference fees.

But events aren’t the only opportunity for saving on printed paper — the boardroom is another great opportunity. How many bales of paper does your organization print out each day, only to see it used for a single meeting before it goes to the shredder? Considering that the average employee in the US uses 10,000 sheets of printer & copy paper every year, if we take an average blended per-sheet cost of just 5 cents, that says that your average employee is using at least $500 worth of paper each year. If we’re talking executives and predominantly colour print-outs, we’re looking at a minimum of $1,000 worth of paper each year. A 16 GB WI-FI iPad, which will hold all the documents they need at one time, is $499 (+ $99 for 2 years of Apple Care). If you institute a zero-printing policy for the boardroom (and meeting rooms), and buy a stack of corporate iPads that can be quickly loaded with whatever documents are needed for the meeting, you can reduce your internal printing costs by at least 50% (as there will be no costs in year two), even assuming you always upgrade every two years when AppleCare runs out. (Many of the devices will probably last three or four years, considering Apple’s track record of quality hardware, so you can sell the old devices at this time and recover some green if you wish. Or you can be a good corporate citizen and, after having the batteries refurbished, donate them to a needy school!)

Think about it. Paper + Ink + Printers + Energy to Print + Transportation + Shredding & Recycling is costly. e-Printing is almost free, as it’s just the cost of the e-Reader, which is much more energy efficient than a printer!

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None of Us …

… is as dumb as all of us!

While generally regarded as true, there has, unfortunately, been a lack of evidence to support the belief … until now! As per this recent article on the Knowledge @ Wharton site on “how group dynamics may be killing innovation”, a recent study by Christian Terwiesch and Karl Ulrich demonstrated that the average quality of the ideas generated by the hybrid process [where participants were given time to brainstorm on their own] were better than those that came from the team process by roughly 30 percentage points. While this may not be the gap the researchers were hoping for, it shows that even in a simple study where there is nothing to lose by trying to get the best idea pushed through, it won’t happen if everyone is asked to innovate as a team. I can only imagine how much innovation is being lost when there are real stakes in the real world! Innovation requires creativity and vision … more specifically, creativity of the individual and the vision of the group to realize it.