Monthly Archives: May 2010

Price is Only ONE Component of Cost

A good reminder of this is Jim Anderson’s recent piece on The Total Cost Approach for Dealing with Unmovable Prices over on The Accidental Negotiator. As Jim notes, the purchase price of an item is not really the true price that we’re going to end up paying for it. There are lots of additional costs, fees, and services that go along with it. Ultimately it’s the total cost of what we’re going to end up paying that really counts, not just the initial purchase price. So if the seller won’t move on unit price, focus the negotiations on another cost component.

As Jim notes, if you’re buying fleet vehicles, negotiate on service costs, warranties, financing, etc. Decent (extended) warranties can easily run you over a thousand per vehicle, and if the vehicle is made well, this is all profit for the manufacturer (as the warranty will expire before something major goes wrong). Here’s an easy few hundred (or more) per vehicle with very little effort. Plus, your average vehicle will need (at least) a few thousand dollars of regular services over the first 60K miles / 100K kilometers, most of which is profit at high hourly service rates. If you’re buying in bulk, you can easily save thousands by negotiating a significantly lower hourly rate. And then financing could run you ten thousand or more per vehicle. Knocking a few percentage points off the rate can save you a small fortune.

If you look at the total cost, it’s often easy to negotiate quite a few percentage points away when you move away from the “fixed price” to the variable total cost components, some of which will be high margin (with lots of negotiating room). Especially since the seller will generally want your business and move where she has wiggle room.

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What is The Price of Flexible Supply Chains? Part I: Flexibility

In this series of posts, I’m going to discuss highlights from the CPO Executive Debate on “the price of flexible supply chains” and focus on not only why you need flexibility in your supply chain, but what you have to do to get it.

In response to how do you balance flexibility with cost and quality considerations and can you measure whether you are striking that balance, Michael Walsh said that beyond knowing that it will be cold at some point in the year and it will be warm at some point in the summer, it is hard to be accurate. We need to build in flexibility to drive the volume responsiveness, and the trade-offs need to be thought through carefully and he was right. With many types of consumer goods — like electronics, fashion, and toys, you can’t predict precisely what demand will be or when demand will surge. You have to be ready to respond or lose business. It’s as Guy Allen said, the nearer you are to the consumer retail market, the more flexible you will need to be. This requires long term flexibility in your supply chain, especially if you are selling multiple types of goods, as well as short term agility which, in the words of Martin Hogel, determines how you react to sudden changes on the demand or on the supply side.

With regards to longer term flexibility, also in the words of Martin Hogel, you need to figure out how you adapt to wider changes in the market structures, such as shifting vertical industry structures, stricter environmental legislation, technological changes or movements in international labour costs? How do you incorporate that into your corporate strategy, your manufacturing footprint, your supply chain approach and so on?

The reality is that vertical industry structures always change over time. In the early part of the century, we had centralized supply chains where companies owned their end-to-end supply chains and centralized them as much as possible. Then we had the downsizing, rightsizing, and outsourcing crazes where everything was outsourced and sophisticated multi-echelon supply chains were formed that cross many borders and included many players. Now we are seeing a shift to center-led supply chains where a center of excellence, which some consulting companies might term a 4PL, will manage (warehousing and global shipping) operations across a supply chain for multiple parties (in contrast to a traditional 3PL that would manage logistics for a single player).

Environmental legislation is still in its infancy, and we are soon going to see many Asian equivalents (in India, China, and other progressive countries) to the European RoHS legislation and at some point, as India and China take more and more global GDP, the US is going to have to sit down and play nice with the rest of the world. Technology never stands still, and the low cost country of today is not the low cost country of tomorrow once the low cost labour market is saturated, which results in a swelling middle class, which results in the demand for a better quality of life, which results in higher salaries. You have to be flexible, or you’ll be left behind.

However, you’re only going to get this flexibility if you design it into your supply chain. As Andrew Vaughan said, one of the keys to flexibility is effective supply chain design where you segment your supply base to focus on key components that you source as generic parts from a variety of suppliers, and customized parts that are specific to your requirements. With your generic parts, you set up a structure that allows you to resource from auxiliary or new suppliers quickly if you need more than your current suppliers can provide, and with customized parts, you set up relationships with custom manufacturers who have the ability to increase production when necessary (even if it is at overtime costs, etc.).

And finally, you have to be cognizant of the impact of each decision you make. As Martin Hogel said, when you look at the supply side, really advanced procurement supply chain organisations understand today the ripple effects that a natural disaster, or an epidemic, has on their overall supply chain, and take immediate preventative action even though only a sub-tier supplier to their main supply base is directly affected, because they know that if their supplier won’t be able to get they part, they won’t be able to get the part … and by taking action right away, they know they’ll have the product when they need it.

In the next post, we’ll discuss how flexibility starts with strategy.

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ASG Software Proves the Peter Principle

There’s a reason “leaders” generally only account for a small percentage of the total market (no more than 30%, and usually only 10%). That reason is the Peter Principle which says that in a hierarchy, every employee tends to rise to his level of incompetence. In other words, your average company will continue to promote its “rising stars” through the executive ranks until they implode into black holes and suck the company down with them.

As proof that these “rising stars” are promoted until they implode into black holes at your average company, I offer up a recent press release from ASG Software which describes the results of a commissioned Enterprise Management Associates study of IT and business executives that found that two-thirds of executives say dashboards deliver clear financial advantage.

In other words, it found that two-thirds of respondents were brain-dead corporate zombies who thought that dangerous and dysfunctional dashboards were a money saving tool — even though I’ve told them twice how dangerous and dysfunctional the average dashboard was. The reality is that, even in the best case where the dashboard is properly designed to show you what’s not working, where data is missing, and where you need to investigate performance, it’s not going to save you money. It’s just going to point out where you need to take action to improve performance and save money.

However, you have to determine the action to take and then you have to take the action … and, more than likely, you will have to apply another tool (which will likely cost money) to take that action. Now, if you select the right action, the right tool for the action, and implement the action properly, then you will improve performance and reduce operational costs and, over all, save more than you spend buying the tool … but these savings will not be the result of the dashboard. They will be the result of the appropriate tool and / or your action.

And, furthermore, if you decide to rely solely on the dashboard to judge overall corporate health, it will end in disaster. All a properly designed dashboard can tell you is that there are no problems of documented types. It can’t tell you that there are no problems of undocumented types. For example, it can tell you that the production line is still pumping out finished units within an acceptable range on a weekly basis. It can’t tell you that no one has bothered to properly service the one-of-a-kind robot arm in over a year, even though it’s supposed to be serviced every three months or 30,000 units, and that it’s 30 units from a major lock-up that will cause it to self destruct and shut the production line down for at least a month. And while it can tell you that your new phone is still selling within the forecasted range, it can’t tell you that sales are about to drop 80% next week because the market is going to suddenly prefer your competitor’s new product coming out next week that the model didn’t account for. The false sense of security the dashboards provide will, if you’re not careful, lull your business into an eternal sleep.

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Would Guanxi have saved Alcatel?

A recent article in the April 17th Edition of The Economist in the special report on innovation in emerging markets noted how Li & Fung, a Hong Kong-based company, has long been a pioneer, working closely with a network of about 12,000 companies operating in more than 40 countries. It puts together customized supply chains from its vast network of associates and keeps an eye on quality and order fulfillment. Similarly, Dachangjian, a motocycle-maker in China’s Guangdong province, works with hundreds of parts suppliers.

Specifically, it noted how these post-modern guanxi have several powerful qualities. For instance, they can contract or expand with demand. As a result, Li & Fung and Dachangjian seldom have problems with excess capacity when times are hard or with waiting lists when times are flush. Furthermore, they can be turned into engines of innovation. Li & Fung relies on its partners to help solve problems, not just fulfil orders. Dachangjiang provides its suppliers with rough sketches rather than detailed blueprints and encourages them to innovate.

Guanxi, the linking of two people in a relationship of mutual dependence, is common in Chinese business. While it has its downsides, as every gift of significant value will soon be followed by a request for a huge (personal) favour, it also has its upsides. Your partners stick by you in your times of need because you stick by them in their times of need.

I can’t help but think that if Alcatel had more of a guanxi relationship with their suppliers and kept track of the basics, as noted by Dick Locke in his recent piece, that they wouldn’t be blaming their suppliers for their recent 10% sales decline. But I’m not the expert, so I asked Dick Locke (SI’s resident expert on global trade) to elaborate on the advice he provided and whether guanxi would help Alcatel. This is what he said:

 

Well, doctor, sometimes I think we’re doing point-counterpoint. I didn’t see Alcatel blaming suppliers and I can’t imagine they could. I don’t know where their supply base is so let’s not put a country-specific name into the conversation. Let’s just call it “relationships”. But yes, they would have done better in their upturn if they had done something different. It could be maintaining better personal relationships, it could be a better matching of business strategies and it could be the existence of better contracts.

 

I’m not sure where they fell down. I do know that the telecom industry tends to see supplier relationship management as primarily a contractual issue. In my seminars, I usually ask how many people work at a company that ever took a supplier to court. About the only companies that say yes tend to come from the telecom world. Maybe it’s a legacy of being in a regulated industry. If Alcatel’s supply base is in Asia, most companies there value relationships over contracts. If it’s in Germany, it’s contracts over relationships.

I was bothered by the Li & Fung story. Suppliers able to contract and expand on demand? The economist made a nice assertion, but there was nothing to back it up. And putting a middleman between buyer and seller? How can you ever develop relationships? In a world where a toy manufacturer’s paint supplier’s pigment supplier can cause millions of dollars of expense and an an untold amount of reputation damage, buyers need to meet, understand and build relationships with several layers of their supply chain.

 

I did note that Li & Fung’s primary market was fashion and consumer goods. Clothing is built to old fashioned quality standards, with AQL plans still the norm for quality mangement. Buyers are willing to accept lots with 10’s of thousands of out of spec goods per million. That method of quality management isn’t adequate for most other industries.

Actually, it’s perception vs. reality. Point vs. CounterPoint is when there are, theoretically, two equally valid ways to approach a public issue. What we’re doing is addressing a perceived reality and either affirming it or denying it, so that, at the end of the post, a buyer can make not just a truly informed decision, but the right one. (Which, in this case, is a focus on the core principals of supply management: better strategy, better contracts, and better relationships.)

Thanks, Dick! (Global Supply Training)

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Webinar Wackiness VII: Webinars This Week from the #1 Supply Chain Resource Site

The Sourcing Innovation Resource Site, always immediately accessible from the link under the “Free Resources” section of the sidebar, continues to add new content on a weekly, and often daily, basis — and it will continue to do so.

The following is a not-so-short selection of 15 webinars THIS WEEK that might interest you:

Date & Time Webcast
2010-May-18

 

14:00 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

CAE Assessment: Keep your simulation software up to date with advanced analyses

Sponsor: Siemens

2010-May-18

 

10:00 GMT-06:00/CST/MDT

Maximizing Program and Project Management

Sponsor: Siemens

2010-May-18

 

14:00 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

Don’t Get Duped by Dedupe: Introducing Adaptive Deduplication

Sponsor: Unitrends

2010-May-18

 

14:00 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

How to Save Millions through Supply Chain Optimization

Sponsor: FICO

2010-May-18

 

11:30 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

The Evolution of the 21st Century Supply Chain: Balancing Inventory, Workforce and Transportation

Sponsor: Supply Chain Digest

2010-May-19

 

15:00 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

Supplier Performance Management – Stop Talking, Start Doing!

Sponsor: Rollstream

2010-May-19

 

14:00 GMT-05:00/CDT/EST

Ten Ways Tecnomatix Can Improve Your Productivity – Part Two: Manufacturing Production

Sponsor: Siemens

2010-May-19

 

11:00 GMT-07:00/MST/PDT

Engineering Spend Insight at Fluor

Sponsor: Ketera

2010-May-19

 

12:00 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

Driving Greater Impact and Value for Your Coaching Spend

Sponsor: Human Capital Institute

2010-May-19

 

11:00 GMT-06:00/CST/MDT

RFID: A Retailer’s Story

Sponsor: CSCMP

2010-May-19

 

10:00 GMT-07:00/MST/PDT

How Payers Will Be Impacted by the New Healthcare Reform Law and What to Do Now

Sponsor: Guidon

2010-May-20

 

15:00 GMT-05:00/CDT/EST

Managing the Lawless Society of Contingent Labor

Sponsor: IQ Navigator

2010-May-20

 

14:00 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

Payable Automation Cost Saving Strategies

Sponsor: Ariba

2010-May-20

 

13:00 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

Sustainability and Carbon Emissions: Immediate, Real and Monetized Risks

Sponsor: IHS

2010-May-21

 

11:00 GMT-04:00/AST/EDT

Top Strategies for Effectively Managing Programs and Risk

Sponsor: GIE Media Inc

They are all readily searchable from the comprehensive Site-Search page. So don’t forget to review the resource site on a weekly basis. You just might find what you didn’t even know you were looking for!

And continue to keep a sharp eye out for new additions!