The One Big Benefit Of NOT Going AI …

You don’t have to worry about your AI vendor going toes-up when power costs go through the roof and your AI vendor can no longer charge pennies for compute when its costs rapidly become dollars and it can’t pass them on due to contractual commitments to existing clients (or to new clients who won’t pay dollars for computations that might return hallucinations).

The new generation of AI tech — Gen-AI LLMs / AGI — requires way more compute power than the last generation, 100 to 10000 times more on average, for most requests. Grids are stretched and beginning to break. We’re at the point where only nuclear can power the data centre needed for a modern Gen-AI/AGI offering. And, as per Koray Köse’s recent article on AI leadership is about who controls the power, U.S. nuclear plants operated at 92.3% capacity last year. OUCH!

THERE IS NO ENERGY LEFT!

You can’t build a new nuclear plant overnight — if you can even build one at all anymore! Last year, DOGE’s Firing Fiasco at the NNSA stretched an already stretched organization even more. Many returned to work, but not all, but budget cuts likely left them without the capacity to even properly monitor existing aging nuclear infrastructure, yet alone approve more plants.

And it’s not even clear how much know-how is left in the US to build new plants. The Vogtle Units 3 and 4 in Georgia were the first units built from scratch in over three decades. The experience and expertise isn’t there to safely build these plants en-masse.

And the last thing the US wants to risk is another meltdown. Three Mile Island wasn’t a Chernobyl, but all it takes is a rushed private sector job with a lack of proper oversight and testing and one small mistake to trigger the next meltdown on US soil.

In other words, the power isn’t there for more AI.

So those organizations that can do without modern AI, that can use classic solutions with fit-for-purpose last generation AI that requires a fraction of the power and can run on already strained, non-nuclear, grids will be the big winners when the power squeeze hits and the Big AI players start dropping like flies.