Category Archives: Decision Optimization

Trade Extensions Demonstrates Optimization is Not Just for the Private Sector

As I just finished my recent series on The Role of Optimization in Strategic Sourcing, I wanted to run a few recent case studies to demonstrate the power and benefits of optimization to make it clear just what you’re missing by not using this wonderful piece of sourcing technology. Since I talk with some of the people at Trade Extensions regularly, I decided to ask them since it seemed like the quickest (and easiest) way to get what I wanted.

Now, I must say that I was a little surprised by what I received, and you might be as well. Now, many of you probably know that Trade Extensions powers BidSmart by Schneider Logistics, that it is used by A.T. Kearney in many of their high-profile consulting engagements and that, like their peers, they have several of the largest Fortune 500 companies in the world as clients. What you may not know is that they also have a significant number of public sector clients in Scandinavia, including the cities of Stockholm and Gothenburg, Greater Stockholm Public Transport and The Swedish National Traffic Agency. The case studies I received detail just a few of their successes within this sector.

Even though optimization isn’t restricted in terms of applicability, when you consider that:

  • most public sector operations, at least in North America, are woefully behind the private sector
  • most public sector operations, at least in North America, require the “lowest bidder” to win the award, no matter how unattractive their bid might be or how poor their past performance was
  • most public sector operations, at least in North America, have so much red tape and politics at play that getting the cross-functional team on-board necessary for success is a pipe dream

the last thing I was expecting was a set of public sector case studies.

So what did optimization do for the very forward-thinking Swedish public sector?

  1. It reduced the cost of cleaning services by over 6%.
    This amounted to a savings of over 200,000 Euros of up-front saving plus considerable on-going administrative savings as the ability to accept a package bid reduced the number of contracts that had to be administered from 42 to 1!
  2. It reduced the cost of bus services by over 1,000,000 Euros.
    While the average cost reduction was only 2.4%, in the public sector where union wages rise every year (with the cost of petrol [gas])), that’s pretty good — especially when the routes for a bus service are fixed!
  3. It reduced the cost of road resurfacing (while reducing the risk of possible collusion between suppliers) by over 1,000,000 Euros!
    Again, while the average cost reduction was only 2.7%, since union wages and the cost of materials rise every year, this is also quite good! Also, the design of the event (a large number of contracts were split into 2 separate contracts, one for the production and delivery of asphalt to a specific site, and one for the laying of the asphalt) had the desired effect in terms of allowing smaller suppliers to participate in the event.
  4. It reduced the cost of domestic travel (w.r.t. flights) by over 55%!
    Before the Trade Extensions event, which allowed bidders to submit bids on single contracts or a combination of contracts, the average contract cost for the Swedish National Public Transport Agency for the long distance public transport system was about 13,500,000 Euros a year. After the combinatorial event which considered 27 bids from 8 bidders, the cost was reduced to about 6,000,000 Euros a year! Incredible!

If you want more information, feel free to contact Chetan Raniga, Business Development Manager (Americas) at your convenience. He’ll be happy to discuss these, and other, sourcing categories (and case studies) with you.

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Will the Tigers Truly Latch On To Analysis and Optimization?

This is the Year of the Tiger (in more ways than one) and, according to a recent article in the SCMR on “Supply Chain 2010” which quoted a recent AMR Research Survey on 184 companies that found that performance management was considered the most strategic supply chain technology investment, software applications in 2010 will focus on analysis and optimization.

I hope so, because it would be great if companies

  • actually knew how much they were spending,
  • who was getting the money,
  • what they were getting for it,
  • how much they should have paid vs,
  • how much they were invoiced, and
  • how much could have been saved with better information and more leverage.

And it would be wonderful if companies could clearly see that

  • lowest bid is not lowest TCO,
  • lowest landed cost is not lowest TCO,
  • lowest acquisition cost is not lowest TCO, and
  • even the lowest Total Cost of Ownership is not necessarily the best value because
  • Total Value Management means that you need the ability to simultaneously analyze cost, risk, and non-price factors to make the best buy decision.

So will it happen? Or will those few of you smart enough to understand the incredible value these technologies have to offer continue to outpace your competition by leaps and bounds for another year?

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BravoSolution Collaboratively Optimizes Its Way onto the doctor’s Short List

As many of you know, there are not many vendors out there that (claim to) offer strategic sourcing decision optimization, and fewer still that meet the doctor‘s basic requirements for a strategic sourcing decision optimization platform. Up until a few days ago, I could only certify six such solutions, though I suspected BravoSolution, especially with its recent acquisition of VerticalNet, made the grade as I knew both were close. However, with the recent addition of the infamous Paul Martyn (formerly of CombineNet fame) as VP Marketing, BravoSolution has been reaching out to analysts and bloggers alike and I received the demo I needed to certify BravoSolution (and it’s Collaborative Sourcing platform) as one of the doctor‘s Optimization Sourcing Samurai.

I’ll keep this post fairly short since, by now, you all know the minimum requirements for a strategic sourcing decision optimization (SSDO) solution, and thus what the BravoSolution Collaborative Optimization platform offers by definition, which are:

  1. solid mathematical foundations,
  2. true cost modelling,
  3. sophisticated constraint analysis, and
    • capacity
    • basic allocation
    • risk mitigation allocation
    • qualitative
  4. what-if capability.

What I will point out is the following:

  • They have one of the easiest-to-use constraint definition UIs
    Not only is it wizard-driven, but they have their constraint categories broken down into four primary categories and 15 sub-categories. In addition, their capacity switches and supplier and lane filters make it really easy to define capacity constraints and supplier exclusions.
  • Their switches make it incredibly easy to construct scenarios from varied data sets.
    They have four types of scenario switches:

    1. Functional
      which let you determine whether or not you want to include bundles (to allow you to compare bids with and without bundles), volume discounts, and capacity constraints
    2. Price Component
      which allow you to select your baseline scenario data and whether or not to include (projected) fuel surcharges
    3. Demand Component
      which lets you switch between different historical and forecast volumes
    4. Filters
      which act similar to other providers’ attributes and allow you to determine whether or not you want to include suppliers, groups, carriers etc. and (automatically) define constraints that would exclude new suppliers, intermodal carriers, or suppliers without a valid contract status or force the inclusion of WMOB suppliers, etc.
  • They have a very extensive library of built in reports
    Not only do they have full-featured comparison reports (like any good SSDO vendor), award detail reports, carrier reports, but they have reports by business unit, geography, bid attribute, lane, incumbent, and scenario detail. The last report makes it easy to determine the differences between two scenarios (which is necessary to understand the cost differential) and their award reports include cost differentials that allow a negotiator to tell a supplier how much their prices would have to decrease in order to get an award.
  • They have a very extensive help library.
    The help library has information tailored to each screen, each constraint, and each option and includes a discussion of the possible ramifications of each constraint and option on the model as a whole.

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Supply Chain Risks: Barriers to Manufacturing in Emerging and Developing Markets

Recently, The Center for Supply Chain Research at the Penn State SMEAL College of Business published a report on “Supply Chain Risks: Barriers to Manufacturing in Emerging and Developing Markets”
that reiterated what we’ve known for a while; that 73% of U.S. companies with revenue exceeding $1 Billion experienced supply chain disruptions in the past five years, that 70,000 companies went bankrupt in China in 2008, and that the average American company operating procurement in Asia found that the average company lost 8.2 Million over a three year time span due to illegal bribes and kickbacks.

It also told us that the five main categories of risk are trade, political, geophysical, economic indicator, and operational — and that all of these risks are prominent in emerging and developing markets, which we already knew. It also re-iterated the common mitigation strategies of:

  • Building Mitigation into the System via
    • Better Network Design
    • Supplier Financing
    • Multiple Manufacturing Locations
    • Monitoring of Public Source Risk Data
    • Contingency Plans
  • Use Technology Solutions such as
    • Scenario Planning
    • Visibility and RFID
    • Early Warning & Event Monitoring
  • Contract Outside Risk Experts

However, in addition to providing a detailed risk analysis of Africa, Asia and the Middle East, China, Latin America, and Eastern Europe, with risk scores for almost 40 individual countries that you should definitely review if you are sourcing from, or planning to source from, any of these areas, it made two very good points that I rarely see in discussions of risk and mitigation.

1. Rank your Risk on probability and significance of the loss.

Face it, unless a low probability risk is associated with a very significant loss, it’s not worth addressing if there are higher probability risks that are more likely to happen.

2. Dollarize the Risk.

Not only will associated hard dollar losses bring about the severity of relative risks, but if you know a risk is pretty much guaranteed to happen in a certain time-frame (for example, a hurricane or earthquake has a 95% probability of affecting your operations in a given 25 year period), you can amortize the cost associated with the impending loss and build a business case for investing in contingency planning and more expensive mitigations that, while costly up front, are guaranteed to significantly reduce your losses over the long term. And, while this is a topic for another post, if you dollarize the risks, the mitigation costs, and the expected loss reductions from the mitigations, you can optimize the application of your limited risk management budget.

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The Twelve Posts of Optimization

In the spirit of this month’s series on The Role of Optimization in Strategic Sourcing, which consisted primarily of:

I bring you the twelve days of optimization, which references some classic posts that you might want to review (again) to the tune of the twelve days of Christmas (as long as you can sing “optimization” really fast). Enjoy!

On the twelfth day of Optimization

my blogger gave to me:

4 Big Myths Exposed
Resources Online For Free
Supply Chain Networks
Expressive Bidding
Spend Analytics
The Way to Handle Freight
BoB’s Unique Talents
Five Questions Core
BoB’s Power Source
Packaging
Grand Challenges

and

Questions to Ask My Vendor

For those of you looking for “best-of” posts this holiday season, this is pretty much all you’re going to get.