Category Archives: Strategy

The End of Competitive Advantage: A Review, Part I


Strategy is stuck. If you dropped into a boardroom discussion or an executive team meeting, chances are you’d hear a lot of strategic thinking based on ideas and frameworks designed in, and for, a different era. The biggies — such as Michael Porter’s five forces analysis, BCG’s growth-share matrix for analyzing corporate portfolios, and Hamel and Prahalad’s core competence of the firm — are all tremendously important ideas. Many strategies today are still informed by them. But virtually all strategy frameworks and tools in use today are based on a single dominant idea: that the purpose of strategy is to achieve a sustainable competitive advantage. This idea is strategy’s most fundamental concept. It’s every company’s holy grail. And it’s no longer relevant for more and more companies.

     Rita Gunther McGrath, The End of Competitive Advantage

Consider the following case study of Fuji Photo Film Company and its inauspicious beginning in the 1930s when it was divested from Japan’s first cinematic film manufacturer because it was a chronic under-performer. Over the years, it improved its reputation and eventually began to take on giants such as Eastman Kodak in film and film processing. However, as the market for chemical-based photography changed little during the past hundred years, Fuji struggled to break into markets where Kodak was entrenched.

In the 1970s, Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt made a play to corner the silver market as a hedge against inflation. They started to make investments in 1973, when silver was only $2 an ounce. By early 1979, the price had risen to $5 an ounce. By the time their plans were announced in 1979, they had amassed roughly half of the world’s supply. Their announcement caused the price of silver jumped to $50 per ounce! When the price collapsed in March of 1980, the Dow Jones Industrial average saw one of the sharpest declines in history.

The experience deeply troubled Minoru Ohnishi, the CEO of Fuji Photo Film, as silver was a key ingredient in film processing and another similar action could seriously damage any film processing business. Furthermore, he sensed a fundamental change might be coming. Four years later, Sony introduced the Mavica, one of the the first consumer digital cameras, and Mr. Ohnishi knew that film-less technology was possible. He immediately moved on the insight and invested heavily in building up expertise in digital technologies to prepare for the next round of competition in the photography business. By the end of 1999, the company had invested over 2 Billion in R&D and by 2003, it had nearly five thousand digital processing labs in chain stores in the US whereas Kodak had less than 100.

In addition, the company branched out and started to supply magnetic tape optics, hybrid electronic systems, and videotape (as the first non-US company to do so). Later still, the company branched into office automation and even biotechnology. Thirty years later, Kodak went bankrupt and Fujifilm, which obtains 45% of its revenue from document solutions and office printers, has significant electronics and healthcare operations.

The lesson is that simply managing well, developing quality products, and building up well-recognized brands is insufficient to remain on top in increasingly heated global competition. The stakes for Fujifilm, which risked undermining its existing advantages while betting on a highly uncertain future, were huge. But it was this approach, investing in new advantages and pulling resources from declining ones, that was more robust in the face of change. When competitive advantages don’t last, or last for a much shorter time, the strategy playbook needs to change.

And that’s what this book is really about, adapting to a changing competitive landscape in our modern, globally connected, world. In some industries, like logistics, products and services change slowly and competitive advantages can last for a long time. But in other industries, such as fashion and consumer electronics, products change quickly and competitive advantages last only until your competitor releases a new model with a feature your last product didn’t have. In these industries, where advantages are transient, a firm needs new rules and new models to determine where to compete, how to compete, and how to win. The old models don’t work, or at least don’t work on their own. In Part II, we’ll begin to discuss how an agile organization deals with the transient landscape.

Strategy is Not Always an Academic Pursuit

And a consideration of market leading companies should put this into perspective. the doctor was reminded of this while reading a recent piece over on the HBR Blogs on “Apple Versus the Strategy Professors” where the author noted that the how of Apple’s fall (or continued rise) will hinge on strategy — because strategy has driven its success.

In the article, the author referenced Michael Porter, famous for his five force analysis, W. Chan Kim and Renee Mauborgne, and their blue oceans, Clayton Christensen, and his disruption model, Michael Raynor, and his successful growth strategies (co-devised with Clayton Christensen), Carl Shapiro and Hal Varian, and their information economy, and Amar Bhide, and his hustle. He then illustrated how Apple has drawn on the teachings of all of these professors (of the Harvard Business School, INSEAD, UC Berkeley, and Tufts) to achieve their transformation and market leadership of the last decade.

It does a great job of demonstrating how strategy is key to success, and, more importantly, how strategy has to be taken beyond the classroom to be effective. Apple didn’t subscribe to any one philosophy or methodology, it borrowed from the teachings of all of the greatest management and strategy thinkers of our time and incorporated those that made sense. But it didn’t do so randomly.

What Apple really did, and what you need to do if you want to ensure consumer success, is figure out what your customers need and give it to them before they have figured out what they need. It took note of what it could do, and then searched for products that would fulfill what people wanted in blue oceans. For example, going back to the iPod, it realized that consumers wanted a portable music device that was easy to use AND easy to manage.

At the time, the mp3 players available were few, used different, proprietary operating systems, and were difficult to use. Furthermore, even if you weren’t a computer geek, getting music on and off was a pain in the backside, and the whole experience — compared to popping a cassette into a Sony Walkman — was unpleasant. Apple realized that people needed an end-to-end solution — a great device, a great software tool for managing the device, and, equally important, an easy way to acquire legally licensed music in the appropriate format. Hence, it developed, and released, in order, iTunes for easy mp3 (and device) management, the iPod, and, finally, the iTunes Store that negated the need to get music from third parties. It was an end-to-end solution that even the most novice of computer users could master — and it was cool. Market dominance was just a matter of time.

While your customer might not be able to tell you what they want when you ask, they know it when the see it and, if you listen, can give you lots of hints. For example, Apple’s future customers were saying things like: “I want my music on the go.”, “This portable music player is cr@p., and How do I manage a library when all I can see is 1 song at a time.” “I can’t figure out how to get the music files I buy from Mperia onto my mp3 player.” All they had to do was listen closely, come up with an entirely new solution that met all the most common wants, and find a way to make it desirable (cool, sexy, fun, etc.). Yes, that’s a tall order — but not that tall when you think about it.

And when you figure out not only what your customers want, but what you are going to give them to make them want your product over the competition, that’s when your supply chain can really give you an edge by getting involved early in the NPD (new product design) effort and finding creative and innovative ways to keep costs down, quality up, and value-add at the right level for maximum reward.

The (Board) Gamer’s Guide to Supply Management Part IV: Castle Panic


Some games are so fiendishly clever, so devilishly difficult, the players must join forces and fight against the very game itself
… because, in the end, we will either all win, or we will all be sitting on the couch of shame.

I’m euphoric to continue this one-of-a-kind summer series that will help you whether you are just interested in finding out about this new and exciting career opportunity, or ready to take your Supply Management career to the next level. Not only is it more fun than watching the defragmentation bar in Windows 95 on a 386 with 4 MB of RAM and an almost full 1 GB hard drive (which boots up in a day and a half), but when you can grasp a lot of the basic concepts by playing the right mix of strategic (and sometimes tactical) board games with your friends, it’s two blasts and a half!

While we still have to tackle the economic games (like Puerto Rico) at some point, we’re going to make use of the fact that, thanks to unprecedented generosity of Wil Wheaton (@wilw) and Geek & Sundry, we have another fantastic TableTop episode where Wil Wheaton introduces us to the game. Until we run out, we are going to take advantage of the priceless gifts that Mr. Wheaton has granted us with this series.

Wil Wheaton gives us a very succinct introduction to Castle Panic, a classic castle defence game (of which there are thousands on the internet and at least dozens for your iPhone) turned into an exceptionally well crafted team-based board game:


The board is divided into three areas called arcs. There’s a blue arc, a green arc, and a red arc. Each arc is further divided into three zones that are targetable by archers, knights, and swordsmen. … The bad guys are trolls, orcs, and goblins. They’re coming out of the forest, advancing towards our castle, trying to ruin our lives. Every turn, the active player will draw cards and then trade a card with another player so that they’re in a position to fight the bad guy most effectively. This is how we work together. We have to get useful cards to the active player so they can target one of the guys coming in to knock down one of our castle walls. After all that happens, the bad guys will advance towards the castle and then we will do the entire thing all over again. … If the bad guys come in and knock down all of our towers, we lose the game. If we manage to defeat all the bad guys, even if there is only one tower left standing, then we win the game.

In TableTop Episode 6, we learn that Castle Panic teaches cooperation, not co-opetition, in the face of almost insurmountable risks as a result of unexpected disasters. Think of goblins as environmental disasters, orcs as socio-technological failings, and trolls as geopolitical-economic crisis that could smash your supply chain into pieces if not properly addressed. And just like in reality, depending on what the risk is, and where it is, only a certain type of mitigation can be brought to bear. An environmental disaster that destroys a production plant and wipes out a source of supply can only be countered by finding a new source of supply, which, in supply chains, may often mean trading with your competition who has locked up excess supply but needs something else that you have more immediate access to. Similarly, in Castle Panic, staying alive often means trading archers, knights, swordsman, heroes, and even barbarians with other players to insure you have the resources you need to take out the immediate threats.

Just like each monster begins with a different number of hit points in castle panic, each disaster has a different degree of severity and requires and may require multiple actions to resolve. If a geopolitical uprising or economic sanction all of a sudden makes your suppliers in Vietnam inaccessible, whom you were depending on for raw materials and production, you will have to find a new source of raw material supply and a new manufacturing partner.

In Castle Panic, just like in your supply chain, the risks, and the disasters they represent, keep coming. At the end of very turn, players must draw 2 tokens from the monster pile (until all 49 are exhausted). These may be run of the mill goblins, trolls, and orcs or they may be special tokens that move monsters around the board; advance them closer to the castle you have to protect (such as the Orc warlord or Troll Mage); force you to draw additional monsters (including the Goblin King); kill your defenders (by way of plagues), or that unleash a giant boulder that, while having the benefit of squashing all monsters in its path, doesn’t stop until one of your walls or towers are destroyed. (The same way that a new piece of legislation, a trade barrier, or other unexpected turn of events can cut off a market for your organization.)

Furthermore, in Castle Panic, just like in your supply chain, your resources are limited. Players draw to replenish their 5-card hand at the beginning of their turn, and once those resources are spent, they are not replenished until the beginning of their next term (just like your budget is only replenished once a year). While most cards take the form of defenders (archers, knights, swordsmen, barbarians, and heroes), some are special cards that will allow a player to draw 2 extra cards, rebuild a wall (with brick and mortar), slow monsters down (with tar), drive monsters back (into the forest), or even scavenge the discard pile and reuse an already played card.

It’s a great team-building game, and one you should play internally with your cross-functional teams to get them thinking strategically and to help them understand that you stand together, or you fall together. Because, just like in real life supply chains,

we will live together, or die alone — in Castle Panic.

Have You Reached the Summit of Cost Cutting?

Cost cutting has been a major focus of your average Supply Management organization for most of the decade. A few efforts have been focussed on the long term, but the majority have been short-term efforts. And this is not a good thing, because, as Patrick Dunne of Alliance Boots said in a recent article over on the CPO Agenda on “Reaching the Summit of Cost Cutting” everything has to be a long-term activity. Every strategy within a Procurement world, or cost-based management as I like to call it, has to have an end-state.

In a strategic Supply Management organization, delivering a cost conscious culture is the long-term objective, everything in-between, short-term, or medium is initiatives, tactics and strategies towards that cultural change. As Daniel Baun Christensen of Lego says, there are no quick wins as such. Successful Supply Management is all about collaboration. Your customers in your organizations are your stakeholders and if you don’t get aligned there are no quick wins and long-term wins. There is no ‘one size fits all’ in procurement.

But when you engage with the larger business, as Ron Needham of SAP found out, you expand your thought leadership and do a better job of being viewed by the CEO as professionals rather than just the folks who have to save money on pencils. By working alongside the marketing, sales, and IT teams to communicate the role of Supply Management and the value it can bring, you see the stock of the internal Supply Management team increase. For example, they were able to institute a bring-your-own-device initiative, frightening to IT in terms of security and liability, which had the net effect of lowering IT spend and increasing environmental sustainability (as you no longer had executives who needed to carry work devices and home devices).

I take these quotes from the article to make a point — there is a need, and an advantage, to focussing on long term cost cutting and not just short term cost cutting. And if you truly believe that the recession is ending and this is going to be a better year, then now is the time you start. You should have started years ago, but I know that most of you reverted to, or stayed in, the cut-costs-now mentality being forced upon Supply Management by short-sighted C-Suites that should have focussed on the long-term the last time things were good instead of chasing unreasonably high profit margins to increase their Wall Street valuation.

The reality is that the 11% savings enabled by Spend Analysis and 12% through advanced sourcing / decision optimization technologies are not repeatable on the same categories year-after-year. They only deliver these savings because average contracts are 3-5 years and its typically (at least) that long before an average category comes up for evaluation again. As with auctions, savings will deteriorate unless your sourcing strategies are taken to the next level (through VFS or Collaborative strategies), and this next level requires two things:

  • supplier involvement and
  • long-term thinking.

And, unless you take your sourcing strategies to the next level (and take the first step on your next level supply management journey [registration required for download]), you may find, that in these turbulent times of rising commodity, freight, and regulatory-related supply chain costs, you may have just reached the summit of cost cutting.