Category Archives: Sourcing Future

Ariba Needs to Get Its Prescription Checked

Ariba recently released Vision 2020 – The Future of Procurement, which was intended to define what the Procurement function is going to look like in 2020. While it was a noble effort, it would appear that Ariba needs to get its prescription checked. While almost half of the predictions were on the mark, and others were close, some define the state of Procurement today, some define the state of Procurement yesterday, and some were just out to lunch. Since you know I can’t leave unanswered any report that I know is going to be taken as influential when it is not 100%, I am going to address each prediction one by one over the next six posts.

In particular, this series will divide the predictions into five categories:

  • Yesterday’s News
    These predictions clearly missed the boat that sailed a long time ago. Any organization that thinks this is Supply Management 2020 needs to take a close look at Supply Management 2000.
  • Today’s Blues
    These predictions would have been good if made in 2005 for 2010, as even though many of the capabilities have been around for a few years, most did not start to be adopted by leading Supply Management organizations until after 2005.
  • Tomorrow’s Shoes
    These predictions hit the mark. Leading Supply Management organizations are starting to embark on the journey that will see them realize these capabilities within 10 years, as they are necessary for these organizations to get to the next level of supply management.
  • Close, but no Cigar
    These predictions were close, but either went a little too far or a little to the side.
  • I Hope it’s Just a Ruse
    I don’t know where these predictions came from. They’re totally off base and anyone banking on them is in for a surprise.

Stay tuned! Agree or disagree, you can chime in with a comment or, according to the paper, join the conversation on the Ariba Exchange if you’re a registered member. SI prefers open discussions, but to each his own.

The Technology Waves Are Always Washing Up On the Shore

But they don’t always make a lasting impression. So how do you know which ones precede a tsunami?

It’s hard to say, but like a tsunami, the waves are not caused by hot air (wind) but deep movements within the (end) user community (geological effects). If you keep this in mind, it is more likely that you will be able to identify the technology waves that will reshape the business landscape.

And you will be able to make sense of this recent report on the technology waves that are reshaping the business landscape by Accenture. In the report, Accenture identifies eight trends driving the future of information technology. Some of significant, others not so much. Let’s take them one-by-one.

  • Application Services as Utilities
    One just has to look at the massive success of Apple’s App Store to realize that the end user mindset has shifted from applications as large monolithic software packages locally installed from CDs and heavily supported by local users to to small, point-based solutions, which can be installed from, and live in, “the cloud” on-demand. Where consumers go, businesses, which employ the same consumers, must follow.
  • “Social Identities”
    Facebook has proven that “social identities” are important to our online society. And with a number of “enterprise” platforms working on integrating social technologies, it’s clear this is a significant shift that will shape application design for years to come.
  • Cloud Computing
    Amazon, Google, and other big providers have proven that a number of businesses, for better or worse, want to move to “the cloud”. This is another shift that is here to stay.
  • Analytics
    We’ve been talking about analytics and BI for years, but there’s never really been a sharp jump in demand to identify BI as the next big thing or to indicate that it will be any more important in the year to come than it was in the year before.
  • Data Security
    Security has been a constant issue for over a decade, and the need for security is no greater this year than last year. And most firms are still of the mindset where they are only going to take this seriously when they get breached.
  • Data Privacy
    Data Privacy, which was big in the 90’s, thanks to Facebook, is now big again. The widespread, public, backlash to Facebook’s initial lack of privacy, and controversial privacy agreements, has re-ignited the privacy debate across the globe and privacy is now under the microscope again.
  • Architecture
    Architecture is obviously going to shift as applications move from monolithic software packages to on-demand utilities, but since consumers don’t really care about architecture, it’s going to take a back seat to the application-on-demand movement.
  • User Experience
    Today’s users demand the Rich Internet Application experience. Thanks to Adobe, Apple, and other companies focussed on the user experience, consumers expect a constantly improving experience. This wave is also growing.

Net result, applications as utility on demand, the cloud, social identity, privacy, and user experience will play a major role in technology in the years to come, but analysis, data security, and architecture, will continue to take a back seat to these more prominent issues.

A Futuristic Look at High Definition Sourcing

Sourcing Innovation would like to officially welcome its newest sponsor, BravoSolution.

Normally SI would include a review of the vendor’s primary offering in the welcome post, but since Bravo’s new Collaborative High-Definition Sourcing platform was just covered extensively by SI in High Definition Sourcing … with the Business Center … and Category Sourcing (as well as in Making Spend Analysis More Useful, Part I and Part II), SI would instead like to offer BravoSolution’s perspective on how a new sourcing paradigm could change Supply Management in the years ahead.

To this end, I have asked Paul Martyn (VP of Marketing), who can be reached at p <dot> martyn <at> bravosolution <dot> com or 312 279 6793 and who recently penned a guest post on Achieving Category Excellence with High Definition Sourcing, to look ahead three years when High Definition Sourcing and Next Generation Sourcing Techniques (which include the Value Focussed Supply Techniques described in last week’s posts) are commonplace in the leading Supply Management organizations and put together a picture of what e-Sourcing might look like.

It’s 2014. I’m a senior sourcing professional at a large multi-national company and I’ve got major sourcing programs planned for categories that share the following characteristics:

  • Large amounts of spend
  • International, operational, marketing and/or finance stakeholders
  • Complicated cost models
  • The category leader is frustrated with traditional sourcing techniques
  • The category is avoided by the faint of heart
  • Dynamic corporate, supplier, and market conditions

Sound daunting? Maybe even impossible to succeed? Three years ago, I would have shared your skepticism and been completely frustrated by the sheer complexity of tackling these challenges. When I look back, there was a lot holding me and my team back, including:

  • A one-size-fits-all approach to sourcing:
    For successful sourcing of complex categories, what my team really needed was the ability to define the world of their particular category. A flexible framework would allow us to state the opportunity/problem, gather the necessary inputs to evaluate possible reactions, make a decision, and track the implementation and monitor the changing conditions around the decisions we’ve made to constantly take advantage of changing realities — all while staying consistent across the organization.
  • Silos, silos everywhere and not a bridge in sight:
    The conventional approaches I used created nonsensical boundaries across functions. I couldn’t get engineering, distribution, supply chain, and customer service aligned or more importantly — involved in the decisions. Worse, we weren’t really in problem-solving mode, these were merely sequenced ‘events’ executed with no ability to create and manage a ‘process’ that ended up as a ‘system’ to manage key categories. All we created were more damn task lists. My category leaders didn’t need more “to-do’s”, they needed laboratories for research and testing, board rooms for decision-making, and a ship’s bridge from which to monitor and control.
  • Drowning in useless data:
    We made great use of data at first, but wrestling with it was so manual and there was no way to easily refresh it. It very quickly became like a can of soda: when first opened, it’s great, but the longer it sits, the flatter — and less useful in providing relief — it gets.

So what’s changed? I’ve used ‘High Definition’ Sourcing with category specific ‘Business Centers’ for complex categories. With this sophisticated approach:

  • Category managers have a panoramic view that allows them to manage their categories, end-to-end with regards to
    1. defining new opportunities/problems
    2. gathering a full spectrum of metrics to use in evaluating potential solutions,
    3. establishing, monitoring, and tracking of key decisions to highlight deviations from expectations

    These three (3) parameters form our ‘system’ for managing complex categories, where the stakes are high and the opportunities for value, even higher.

  • With a category management Center of Excellence we have two critical resources for successful management of high-definition sourcing:

    1. A Data Management Guru (DMG) responsible for the data capture and informatics. The DMG establishes connections to gather baselines; refreshes usage and capacity details; links to spend sources for up-to-date consumption figures and arranges performance data aggregation and design.
    2. A Business Intelligence Management Professional (BIMP) responsible for configuring the new analytics necessary to analyze key categories within an initiative. Every problem is a little different, and the right analytics are crucial to making the right decision.

As a result, my sourcing tools can

  • Flexibly define the problem opportunity for a specific category
  • Utilize robust data sources to feed the evaluation and performance processes
  • Allow creative scenarios to complete the evaluation process
  • Support the determination of specific decisions and actions
  • Establish KPIs for tracking ongoing performance
  • Effectively report the impact of our initiatives in terms (EPS/Profit Contribution) the entire organization understands

All in the context of a given category.

And the return on investment for the staff augmentation and additional tools? An additional 5-8% savings in my most strategic categories, an overall improvement in my supplier performance post-contract, and an overall reduction in organizational risk by involving all of my stakeholders, their key data inputs, and constraints.

My only regret: I didn’t do it sooner.

Thanks, Paul!

CPO Agenda’s Skills for the Future

A recent article in the Winter 2009-2010 issue highlighted the results of a recent Human Capital in Purchasing workshop on Skills for the Future. According to the article, a buyer will need the following skills in the Supply Management world of tomorrow:

  • risk management
  • financial management
  • working capital management
  • cost management
  • functional strategy management
  • profit management
  • innovation management
  • product (composition) & service management
  • flexible production management
  • team management
  • change management
  • negotiation management
  • supplier (relationship) management
  • corporate social responsibility management
  • sustainability management

as well the following skills:

  • market intelligence
  • leadership
  • communication skills
  • cultural skills
  • personal professional development

In other words, if you want to survive in the Supply Management world of tomorrow, you have to be ready for the New Renaissance coming in the supply chain, get back to the classroom for your true Renaissance education, strive to be The New Polymath, and hope that today’s Leonardo da Vinci takes an interest in supply management, because even if you’re a Mensan, that’s a tall order!

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Why Supply Chains in 2015 Will Be Substantially Different Than Today

A lot of supply chain 20xx lists are produced each year, and while many aren’t worth a second glance, Dan Gilmore over on Supply Chain Digest has one of the best top 10 lists on what supply chains will look like in 2015 that you’re going to find. But what’s even more important than the items on his Supply Chain 2015 is why supply chains are being forced to change. I’ll attempt to answer that a bit in this post.

  • Fuel Prices Will Spike Again … to $200 a barrel
    Global demand is increasing daily. Emerging markets want their western lifestyle and the developed world is doing a very poor job of latching on to renewable sources (like wind, water, and solar … combined, these sources could easily power the Global Grids, but it will take a significant change in mindset as well as a very significant up-front investment for them to do so).
  • Generation Y Will Boycot You With Their Wallets if You’re Not Corporately Responsible
    In most surveys, your CSR policy is a greater concern to most job candidates than the size of the paycheck you’re offering. That’s because environmental consciousness is part of who they are and if they have a choice between two products and one is from a company that is not known for its environmentally friendliness, regardless of cost, guess which one they are likely to choose?
  • Product Lifespans will Compress Further
    As we haven’t reached the limit yet, our market induced appetite to always have the latest and greatest will continue to push manufacturers to innovate faster to keep their marketshare. If you can’t keep up, you will be pushed out.
  • Time-to-Market in Emerging Markets will be King
    The economies of Brazil, India, and China are poised to take off like a rocket … and they want what we got. The first company to identify a need and offer an affordable product to fill it will make the $2B in revenue P&G made in its first year on the launch of Tide ColdWater (the first detergent designed for cold water) look like petty cash. (Remember, there are 1.2 Billion people in India and 1.3 Billion people in China and the middle class population in both of these countries will soon exceed the total U.S. population, if they haven’t already given the current state of the U.S. economy and the real jobless rate of 17.5%.)
  • Inventory Costs will Continue to Increase
    Not because raw overhead costs will increase, but because inventory-related losses due to theft (which costs retailers alone 33.7B in the US) and obsolescence (which will force you to sell or dispose of inventory at a significant loss).
  • SaaS Will Be Better, Faster, Cheaper in Every IT Domain
    While there may still be application domains where it’s not there yet, you can count on that not being the case for much longer. Furthermore, even if you need your own single-tenant instance or data on site, you’ll soon see full-service completely hands-off managed SaaS where the application self-updates and self-replicates because your “instance” is part of the cloud on which it resides.
  • Real Time Information Will Be Ubiquitous
    Cheaper-than-dirt RFID and the emergence of web-based SaaS will quickly take us from an age where we don’t have enough visibility to where we almost have too much. Will you be ready to deal with it?
  • New Breakthroughs in Automation Will Emerge Globally
    Japan is already giving us robot secretaries and robot cats to keep them company. New production technology improvements can’t be far behind!
  • Emerging Markets Are On Their Way to Becoming the Dominant Global Markets
    As noted above, Brazil, India, and China will soon be three of the top five global economies. (China already is, but it will soon be #2.) Germany, France, and the UK will be dwarfed in comparison. If you’re not aligning your supply chains to serve the new GDP super powers, you won’t be a major player this century.
  • Everything will be Digitized
    iTunes has already killed the CD star; even BlockBuster understands that high-speed broadband will kill the DVD star; and when every smartphone has a 10 MP camera …

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