Category Archives: Market Intelligence

Procurement Trend #08. Lifecycle TCO

Five anti-trends remain. We can count them on one-hand, but like LOLCat, we feel more compelled to provide stupid examples of how back-water the futurists really are when they provide us examples of trends that anyone who bothered to poke their head over their cubicle wall ten years ago would have noticed. However, we’ll leave their humiliation for LOLCat, who has obviously received very little enjoyment from this series, but still found time to point out how LOLCats have been sustainable at least since the first corrugated cardboard box was created and instead focus on blasting the myths the futurists continue to propagate.

So why do these Rip van Winkles keep pushing upon us trends from yesteryear? Besides the fact that some of them obviously spent the best part of the last few decades napping, probably because they look around, see the laggard organizations still caught in the muck, and assume they can still sell last decade’s snake oil in today’s marketplace. Why do they think Lifecycle TCO is today’s cure?

  • the supply management lifecycle in a typical company has been expanding
    for decades

    and cost models rarely keep up

  • once the margin has been taken out of the unit cost and the landed cost,
    the definition of cost has to expand to realize savings

    but most companies that claim to be looking at TCO are still looking at T-CAP

  • the most out-of-control costs are typically where you’re not looking

    and that’s the way, uh-huh, uh-huh, they* like it

So what does this mean to you?

Cost Models Have to Expand

Right now, most companies that claim to be focussed on Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) are really only focussed on Total Cost of Acquisition and Production (T-CAP). They are merely focussed on landed cost and costs associated with production (waste, etc.) and distribution and aren’t looking up the supply chain to energy, labour, and raw material costs and forward to maintenance, service, warranty and return costs or even further forward to reclamation, recycling, and disposal (related) costs. Every cost has an impact and any sudden increase or decrease can completely change the model.

Out of Control Costs Have to be Found

Wherever they are. Typically, a company heavily focussed on optimization will be focussed on T-CAP but not look at the expected warranty and return costs associated with switching to a lower-cost supplier or not break down the supplier’s quote to realize that the energy costs are much higher than expected and likely to rise rapidly in the region two potential suppliers are currently located in.

Cost Control Measures Have to Be Implemented

Once the cost models are expanded, the out of control costs are identified, cost control measures are defined, implemented, and performance against them is tracked. If the out of control costs are energy costs, then the organization might decide to implement its own renewable power plant (such as a solar farm or wind farm) for fixed plant energy requirements. A sourcing project is undertaken to source the plant and then, once its up and running, additional projects are undertaken to control maintenance costs, etc. Year-over-year costs are tracked to insure the realized savings on a production-cost-per-megawatt basis are realized so that the organization will see its ROI within a defined period of time.

Piece of Cake, eh?

Procurement Trend # 11. Transparent Pricing

Only eight anti-trends remain. Doesn’t sound like much, but when you consider that we have been blasting away at these for two months now, it’s still a lot, especially since it’s going to take us another two and a half weeks to reach the last anti-trend that the futurists gave us. At least most of the “future” trends are recent enough that the older generation can actually remember their inception. (No, not the Leonardo DiCaprio movie!) But I have to agree with LOLCat that it would be nice if there was a way to stop the beat of the futurists‘ drum because, even with these trends that started in some of our life-times, the drum has been beaten to death and I fear, like LOLCat, that the futurists’ may soon return to the age old art of cat-skinning to make a new one!

So why do these hopped-up historians (who’ve obviously had one dozen lagers too many) keep pushing transparent pricing as a future trend? Besides alcohol-induced brain-cell asphyxiation, possibly because they’re still trying to figure out this new-fangled thing called a computer and still struggling to understand just what the world wide web can do for them. Regardless, it’s clear that they’ve just figured out that:

  1. the internet makes global commodity market data instantly accessible

    even in far-away places like China and Russia and Australia

  2. online marketplaces makes average market price data instantly accessible

    including prices that are actually paid by the public or contract prices that will actually be honoured because the contracts are with the public sector

  3. should cost models allow for reasonably accurate price estimation
    which can be calculated in real time using the data from #1 and #2

    so there is no excuse for not knowing when you are being over-quoted 20% by a supplier’s sales rep who thinks you are too dumb to know otherwise

So, what does this mean to you?

Commodity Markets

You should always know the current market price of any base commodity that you are buying and/or that the products you are buying are dependent on (if that commodity generally accounts for 10% or more of the product cost). You should subscribe to commodity market feeds, track them, and set up alerts anytime there is a significant change in prices one way or another over a short time period as this is often a signal to lock in a new contract (before prices climb to high), extend a current contract (if it looks like prices are going to skyrocket and then stay high for a while), or spot buy (if prices are declining and are expected to steadily drop over a period of time) until the time to lock in a new contract is right.

Consumer Marketplaces

You should always know the average price of any consumer good that you are buying in the open market or in the public market as public contracts are public! Don’t just rely on 3-bids and a buy for standard consumer goods, office suppliers, or other off-the-shelf purchases. Get baseline market data and negotiate from there based on leverage, economies of scale, and projected pricing trends.

Should Cost Models

Raw market data combined with local labour market data, local energy market data, and good should cost models will give you a good idea of what you should be paying for any custom manufactured good. Don’t go into a sourcing event without this baseline. If the suppliers have a history of colluding, and you don’t know it, that 5% you knock off of current pricing could still be 15% higher than what the supplier needs to charge to make a profit margin at the high-end of what suppliers in the vertical typically make.

Integration Point: A Global Content Provider

When we last covered Integration Point (in 2008 and 2010), we discussed their solutions for customs, security, and product classification; for free / secure trade zones and for regulatory compliance.

We talked about how their SaaS solutions helped companies with product classification under HS codes, advance notification (as required by 10+2), denied party screening (through integration with the US denied party lists), free trade / special economic zones (and identification of associated agreements), and the creation of necessary documents as well as the creation of surveys to determine if the supply base was compliant.

It was a good all-around solution, but it wasn’t a one-stop shop. While the import and export management solutions were extensive, the supply chain compliance solutions were limited; free trade was primarily ECCN, entry visibility, and country of origin; there was no automatic HS or country of origin classification; and content was primarily limited to HS/HTS codes, common import documentation, custom compliance documentation, and FTA summaries.

However, recognizing that their entire solution was dependent on good content, Integration Point, which now has twenty (20) offices across six (6) continents (and which promises an Antartica office as soon as the penguins start trading), started working on a Content Repository ten years ago and over the last decade has grown that content repository into a Global Content Repository with relevant trade data for over 185 countries. This include HS Codes, Tariff Schedules, Import/Export documentation requirements, rulings, free trade agreements, free trade and special economic zones, customs compliance programs, denied parties, sanctions and embargoes, and relevant trade acts, such as Lacey. The repository, which is maintained by a team of over 200 people globally, contains millions of base documents and millions of codings and mappings and is updated daily.

Daily updates is a critical part of a trade content repository. While some countries only update their tariff schedules a few times a year, others update their schedules monthly, and some update their schedules weekly (or more as Brazil once updated its schedules 80 times in one year). In addition, as trade relations improve or break down between countries, new trade restrictions / sanctions / embargoes are created almost overnight, denied parties get added to the list daily, and new regulations and rulings also come out on a daily basis. Correct classification, coding, and documentation is the difference between trouble-free trade and having your shipment held up for days, weeks, or months. And not shipping a restricted product to a denied party is the difference between smooth sailing and being federally investigated and fined millions of dollars. In both cases, your logistics and trade managers can only insure properly documented, legal, trade if they are on the ball with up-to-date data.

Since Integration Point has a global team, Integration Point, which sells access to its content repository as well as its trade management solutions on a subscription basis, is able to keep its repository current, which is no mean feat considering there have been over 2M updates to HS classifications alone on a global basis so far this year and over 1M updates to the import / export document database were required to capture regulation updates, trade agreement updates, form updates, and new rulings.

Integration Point now has one of the best and most complete Global Content Solutions out there and should be included in your list of content solution providers as you endeavour to get your compliance under control because Content is a Cornerstone of Compliance.

Plus, based on this content, Integration Point is now able to offer innovative solutions around country of origin determination, product classification, tariff analysis, and supply chain costing. We will cover these in future posts in early 2015.

Procurement Trend #12. BYOD Mobile Procurement

Nine trumped-up trends still haunt us, and it’s probably best that LOLCat has been trapped in a box by the Futurists as these are nine trends he doesn’t want to waste any of his nine lives thinking about. Plus, at some point we’re probably going to have to call in Scooby Doo to sniff out whatever it is that the futurists have been smoking because it’s hard to believe that anyone lucid would utter such statements.

So why do so many historians keep rambling on about BYOD (Bring Your Own Device) Mobile Procurement? Did they all upgrade their old Nokia flip phones to iPhone 6s and Sony XPerias all at once and realize that you could do more on a digital phone than just send a text? I don’t know, but I do know that:

  • everybody in the corporate world has at least one portable device
    and most people have 2 or 3 (that they carry everywhere)
  • modern smart phones and tablets have more power than early laptops
    and much higher screen resolutions to boot
  • software providers have contracted mobile fever
    and this isn’t necessarily a good thing

So what does this mean?

A plethora of portables

Go mobile where mobile makes sense and go wired where it does not. What do I mean by this? The software, and the device it runs on, should support the workflow and not the other way around. For example, inventory and procurement software should support the creation of goods receipts on a mobile device in the hands of a warehouse worker on the floor and the creation of new spend cubes by an analyst at her desk with a big screen monitor, not the other way around. Busy executives need the ability to approve requisitions and invoices on their mobile devices when they are on the go and have five minutes, but I wouldn’t let a payable clerk set up ACHs on her smartphone just because she can (for many, many reasons).

Portable power

Portables are powerful, and you can take advantage of that to allow a team member visiting a supplier to take notes on her tablet as she walks the plant, view reports that need to be discussed with the supplier, use the collaboration components of the software to message and video conference with her peers, and so on. But, as per the last paragraph, only use the power when it makes sense to do so. Just like power often drives people mad, overengineering the software just because you can leads to a maddening experience for the end user. When I want to see the shipment error rate I just want to see the $%^&* shipment error rate — I don’t want a 3-D spinning infographic that I have to twist and twirl to try and find the one number I need.

Mobile Madness

Every time your employee gets a shiny new mobile device, he’s going to want every excuse to play with his shiny new toy. Don’t give it to him. Stick to your guns and make sure the software you use only supports mobile interfaces where those interfaces make sense. Your employees aren’t paid to play on mobile devices, they’re paid to get the job done in the most efficient way possible. Sometimes that’s on the phone. Sometimes that’s on the tablet. And sometimes that’s on the old-school desktop box hardwired into the LAN that is at, of all places, the employee’s desk! Imagine that!

NewsFlash: PR Perp, I Don’t Care What You Think! (Blogger Relations Part V)

It’s no secret. the doctor doesn’t like PR pros. To be specific, the doctor does not like “professional” PR pros who work for PR Agencies who believe that all they need to know to do their jobs is “best practice” PR techniques and that subject matter knowledge is not required. This really bugs me because even the best salesman knows that you have to have both some understanding of the product and a customer’s desire if you want to sell it. Thus, in order for a PR “pro” to sell a story to publisher, would it not stand to reason that she should, at a minimum, understand the product or service she is pushing as well as the interests of the publishers she is pursuing?

Apparently not. Apparently SI wants to write about website building using glorified Facebook profiles, physical therapy, the average ball player’s salary, lipstick, reality TV, and PR agency press releases! Anyone who took fifteen seconds of time to look up SI (and scan any post in the Blogger Relations series or any entry in the FAQ) would realize that the doctor disdains social media for the sake of social media (if you want to take selfies and poke, prod, and farmville your life away, go for it, but leave me out of it), only writes about supply chain, and has a general disdain for PR agencies so the last thing the doctor wants is to write about your recent press release on how you just released a new social media tool that is going to revolutionize the business world (not), how you just ran a campaign for client X that was revolutionary (and probably had no impact on actual sales), or how you just hired more more PR “pros” to increase the number of publishers you can spam with inane, irrelevant, bullsh!t on a daily basis.

And to make matters worse, they all have outreach press release syndication engines that not only blast you with the most ludicrous story idea you can think of, but that send two to four follow-up e-mails on a scheduled basis where they remind you of how great the story idea was, in case you missed it the first time. If you’re lucky, it will include an unsubscribe link, but it won’t matter, because they set these engines up with a thousand lists, and every time they get a new e-mail address, immediately syndicate to all of the other engines in their PR network, so that way, even if you manage to unsubscribe from the Reality TV in Atlanta list, you’ll still get the same story from the Reality TV in New York list, that cross-runs all of their stories from the Reality TV in Atlanta list to make sure all stories get as wide a reach as possible. In other words, these PR pros have taken the art of spamming to a whole new level! (the doctor bets that even the Nigerians are impressed!)

But even this isn’t what’s currently driving the doctor mental. What’s currently driving the doctor crazy is how every ridiculous story (which is an accurate term because this is the word many people use to describe fiction, which is probably the most accurate term for a good portion of what SI gets pitched, which is another accurate term because this is what should be done with most of the content suggestions sent SI’s way) comes preceded by the words I think this is a great story for SI because …

PR Pro: What You Think Doesn’t Matter! Not in the least. No one gives a sh!t. All the company paying you cares about is that you promote their product or service. And all the publisher cares about is bringing quality subject matter on topic to their audience. SI isn’t being consulted by beauticians who want lipstick advice, isn’t being consulted by agents to professional athletes who want insights on how much their clients should be getting paid, and I certainly hope that SI isn’t being read by PR Pros who want insights on how to do their jobs even more annoyingly! (Although it’s possible that with this rant SI just gave a few amateurs a few ideas they shouldn’t have …)

And at least where SI is concerned, you have an archive of over 4,000 posts to search to determine whether or not SI has ever written about the topic, a detailed 20+ (or is it 30+) page FAQ that answers many of your questions, and a Blogger Relations series that, if read appropriately, makes it quite clear on how to NOT be an idiot. So if you can’t get the clue that all SI wants is Supply Management / Supply Chain related stories* and keep sending him stories about lipstick and baseball, expect him to unsubscribe to every list associated to your agency and blacklist you — permanently. (And this means that if you ever do get a great story in Supply Management, just like no one would listen to the boy who cried wolf, no one here is going to listen to you!)

So please shape the hell up and put a little intelligence and insight into your job or get lost. Seriously.

*SI is quite willing to be pitched loosely-related stories that have a 1 in 100 chance of being written about as long as there is some, clear, relation to Supply Management / Supply Chain.