As you know, and as we’ve written about repeatedly, the hype cycles for orchestration and Gen-AI are in full swing (even though both should be declining, they are both picking up steam, likely due to the ridiculous amount of money spent on marketing — which includes vendors buying analyst studies and reports that focus on areas where they look good).
Consultancies are not only trying to promote and sell you these technologies as a panacea for all your technology ills, but also trying to tell you that it’s what the best-in-class do and, by the way, that if you want to be best-in-class, you have to upgrade all of your processes (with their help) to those that the best-in-class use (whatever that means).
Furthermore, both are trying to tell you what the Future of Procurement is in 2030, 2035, 2040, etc.
And the reality is that NONE of this helps you. Not one bit.
As we have repeatedly pointed out, most of the currently hyped technology is still in experimental/beta stages. This is not technology that will help you mature. In fact, if you are not an industry leader, and mature in your processes, it may actually hold you back because you need to be a mature industry leader with your Procurement organization running smoothly to have the time and experience to properly evaluate these technologies and where they might fit in your organization.
Furthermore, every organization is different. As a result, what is a best practice for one organization may not be a best process for another. In fact, it might not even be relevant. While you will need to improve your processes, and streamline them for digitization, there is no set of fixed processes you can just plug and play and succeed.
And, don’t pardon my French, why the fuck would you care about what Procurement will be like in 5, 10, 15, 25 years. That does NOT solve your problem today. You care about what a better organization would like today and how to get there. That’s it. Just like the journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step (and possibly a single kick in the ass), the path to success is continual improvement, and, simply put, doing better tomorrow than you are doing today.
This means that the key to success is good old maturity levels, current state assessments, and simple step-by-step plans to get from one level to another. Nothing fancy. Nothing tech-centric. And definitely nothing hyped!
While the doctor admits he did get a little tired of the plethora of these maturity maps that appeared in rapid succession in the late 2000s and early 2010s, including the one he did, it was much preferable to today where the dearth of these, and simple advice, is deafening. The help that is desperately needed is not there — replaced by (Gen-AI generated) (Gen-)AI and orchestration hype, not how they can (and cannot) support the solutions you need.
[Plus, let’s not forget that analyst firms and consultancies tend to ignore government regulations and industry compliance (except in country-specific studies), day-to-day pain points (because they aren’t sexy and won’t sell the hype), and, unless they can make a quick-buck (or get a major uptick in eyeballs), changing global conditions that require (temporary) supply chain pivots.]
So, if you truly want to improve, find a maturity model that walks you through the process and knowledge improvements you need to
- get to where you should have been when you started Procurement
- get to where you should be today
- prepare for the next 3 to 5 years (since no one looks beyond that anymore)
- slowly build out a foundation that will take you beyond that (without another massive investment)
That’s it. That’s how you make progress. And how you do it without flushing Millions of Dollars down the (Big X) consulting toilet.
Need a starting point? You can still download the classic paper the doctor wrote back in 2012, that was sponsored by BravoSolution (acquired by Jaggaer), on Taking the First Step on Your Next Level Supply Management Journey which describes the levels of maturity from standardization and complexity reduction (which is typically the first step an organization takes on its journey), to operational excellence (which is typically the second step an organization takes on its journey), to strategic business enablement (which is when it typically becomes best in class).
If you do a web search, you will find others from the big consultancies, but this gives you an idea of what to look for in a model that you can build a progress plan on. Where do you start, where will go next, and where do you want to end up. Note that a good model is tech free. Tech should support your growth, not the other way around. (In other words, it’s never Tech-First or AI-First, it’s solution first, and then you identify the right tech.)
And if you need help with a current state assessment, or flushing out a roadmap from one level to the next, or where you are now to standardization and complexity reduction, hire a niche consultancy who will take a no-nonsense approach to get you there at a reasonable cost. (This shouldn’t cost millions of dollars in a transformation project. Depending on your organizational size and complexity, somewhere in the low six figures should typically be enough to get your started, or mid to high five figures if you want to just focus on a few core areas at a time. But definitely NOT seven figures. That comes during the transformation process once you have identified the tech you need, and NOT the tech everyone is trying to shove down the proverbial throat.)
