Daily Archives: May 14, 2009

Making Sense of Web Stats: Hits, Page Views, Sessions, Unique Visits, and Unique IPs

What’s the most popular site? Is the most popular site the highest-ranked in Alexa? (Not likely.) The site that lists first in the search engine? (Not necessarily.)

Unless you have the traffic logs, and you know how to read them, you’ll never know.

This post attempts to explain the difference between the different types of web statistics out there. It’s important to understand which statistics, and which combination of them, are most relevant, and which statistics are least relevant. More importantly, it’s useful to know when a site is overestimating its audience (which is easy to do if the site’s owner doesn’t know how to configure or convey those stats correctly).

  • Hits

    Simultaneously the most popular statistic and the most misleading, a hit counter tracks every URL load, including accesses from spiders, bots, and reloads in a session. Depending on how your logs and/or statistics software is configured, it might even count every load of every css file, script, and image referenced by, and included in, the page. If it does, that could (falsely) give you a 10 for 1 reading on every site access. Although hits are a great gauge of bandwidth utilization, they are a very poor indicator of site popularity (especially if the site is the target of an overactive bot, a DOS attack, or a small group of loyal followers who like to reload it dozens of times a day to take part in chatter or gossip).

  • Page Views

    Probably the second most popular statistic. If used properly, this will represent the total number of times a page was (re)loaded from the site. It’s a better statistic than hits because, when used properly, references and includes are not counted and spider traffic is partially excluded as well. However, like hits, it can significantly overestimate the unique traffic experienced by a site.

  • Entry Views

    Used mainly with blogs, this counts the number of specific post accesses, as opposed to the number of times the main page was accessed.

  • Sessions

    One of the less popular statistics, and used mainly with portal and commerce sites that require login, it refers to the number of unique accesses of a site by a unique user identifier. It’s equal to the average number of unique visits times the number of unique visitors, and it’s a better indicator of site popularity than page views for a site whose visitors, on average, don’t visit more than a few times during the spanned time period.

  • Unique Visits

    Similar to sessions, except it refers to the number of unique accesses by IP. The difference is that if multiple visitors from the same IP access the site in the same time window (through a proxy server), the number of unique visitors could be under-represented.

  • Unique IPs

    Counts the number of unique IP addresses that accessed the site, and acts as a lower bound on the site’s popularity (since multiple individuals could access the site through the same IP address).

  • Combination of Page Views and Unique IPs

    Combined, one of the best, measures of a site’s popularity. You know the site has at least as many unique visitors as IPs and you know, based on the page views, about how many pages a unique visitor accesses in a given time period.

  • Combination of Unique Sessions/Visits and Unique IPs

    Combined, the other best measure of a site’s popularity. You know the site has at least as many unique visitors as IPs and you know, based on the sessions, about how many times a unique visitor visits the site.

So what are SI’s statistics? Over the past month:

Hits 149,030
Page Views 49,910
Entry Views 17,705
Visits 24,855
IPs *10,825

What does this mean? It means that at least 10,825 people visited SI last month, an average of 2.3 times each, visiting 4.6 pages each. Since about 34% of traffic is search engine traffic, which is mostly accesses of a page or two, we can exclude this traffic. Revising our statistics, we can then estimate that 7,145 people visited SI an average of 3.5 times each, visiting an average of 7 pages each. Furthermore, given that about 39% of traffic comes from external referrals (SI has over 10,000 incoming links from numerous sites all over the internet that link directly to it and redistribute its feeds), and that this traffic displays irregular patterns (and accesses SI approximately 50% as much as regular readers), we can estimate that, last month, there were:

  • 2925 regular readers who visited about 9.2 pages each in 4.2 visits
  • 4220 irregular readers who visited about 4.6 pages each in 2.1 visits
  • 3680 new readers who visited a page as a result of a search engine query

Finally, it is very important to justify the numbers. They must all be consistent. If the numbers don’t make sense, or if they are internally inconsistent, you are dealing with a site that really has no clue at all as to its traffic. The above numbers make very good sense since, while some readers will visit almost every day, my representative reader (who has no time to leave comments) is too busy to visit every day, but makes a point of visiting two (to three) times a week (often on Monday and Friday, which are the peaks of SI activity).

* Lower bound. This is one statistic I’m not able to retrieve by time period from the native blog stats tool, so it was extracted from one of the three third-party stats tools I also use, which rely on (java)scripts that can be cached or blocked, and therefore cause some hits/IPs to be missed.

An Enterprise Software Buying Guide, Part VII: Negotiations

In our last two posts, we discussed the creation of cost models that would allow you to approximate, at least to a well-defined order of magnitude, the total lifetime cost of ownership of the software solutions under consideration, which can then be refined during negotiations to understand the true cost of each proposal put forth by avendor. Today we discuss the process for formulating your objective and negotiations.

5. Define Your Objective

Your objective is defined as a price-performance goal based upon your identified needs, your cost models, your budget, and your ROI expectations. Your objective will be to obtain the solution required to meet all of your key functional requirements, along with as many of your nice-to-have but non-critical functional requirements as possible, at a specific price-point with as much support beyond a minimum level as you can negotiate.

You’ll go into each vendor negotiation with an identified solution blueprint, a support requirement, and a maximum price that you’re willing to pay and be prepared to walk away (and move on to the next solution) at any time if it looks like your minimum objective is not obtainable. This keeps you focussed on your goal and prevents you from getting lost on a vendor led joyride through the backwoods byways which ultimately lead to gator infested swamps.

6. Negotiate Professionally

Traditionally, enterprise software has a lot of margin and even more empty calories. This means that there is usually a significant opportunity to reduce the price through a serious negotiation.

If the purchase is over a million, it’s critical to have someone from procurement lead the negotiation, backed up by the cross-functional team, and if the purchase is over two million, you should strongly consider bringing in a professional deal architect. A skilled negotiator in the enterprise software market can undercut the range every time and save you as much as 40% off of “best-price” on multi-year deals that include significant maintenance and support requirements.

After all, professional enterprise software negotiators are used to the vendor tricks and rhetoric like we have never accepted that price point or legal clause that the vendor sales representatives are trained to deliver at the start of every negotiation. They know when thy vendor is using the “partner” ploy. They know when a vendor is trying to blind you to their failings by pointing out their competitor’s failings. They know that a market quadrant or wave ranking is pointless if the solution doesn’t do what you need it to do at the price point you need it at to get ROI. In fact, they know all the standard stupid salesperson tricks and how to combat them to get you the best deal.

And they’ll be watching out for the Big Lie, which happens when a vendor says “yes, we have that capability” even though they don’t, and don’t plan to, and then price the missing capability ridiculously high in hopes you’ll decide you don’t really need that capability and buy their product anyway.

Tomorrow, in our final post in this initial series on enterprise software buying, we will discuss the importance of carefully reviewing any contract put before you, some common “gotchas” that vendors will try to hide in the fine print, and the secret to long term solution success.